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November 21, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update-Warmer & Drier, Then Showers With Lots of Wind, Rain & Some Snow Down the Road....

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November 21, 10:30 PM Weather Forecast Update-Warmer & Drier, Then Showers With Lots of Wind, Rain & Some Snow Down the Road....
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The drought continues over the area with only 40-70% of normal rainfall over the past 30 days in an overall drier than normal pattern since mid-May.

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Highs today reached 46-53.  This, after 7-13 Sunday morning.

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+EPO means split flow pattern with subtropical jet way to our south with the moisture separated from the polar jet & the cold to the north.  This means pretty dry, warm, breezy to windy weather with Pacific airmass this week.

It looks mild & breezy to windy with lots of dry air to increase the grass & brush fire risk through Thursday.

This pattern often brings prairie fires to the Plains & Midwest & Pineapple Express-type rainfall event to the Pacific Northwest.

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Some patchy fog is possible in the northwestern areas tonight & again Tuesday night.

We don't look to really cloud up until Thanksgiving Day.

Rather than one single storm system, it looks like a weaker one & a stronger one to end the week & move into the weekend.

That evening to the night & very early Friday features some scattered showers with rainfall totals of 0.01-0.20" are expected.

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After an ok, mild Friday to Saturday, the main storm system passes with heavier rainfall.

Rain may end as brief rain/snow mix Sunday morning, but it seems much less likely for pure snow & any minor accumulation now.

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A couple of powerhouse storms with a lot of wind (some gusts +45 mph), mainly rain, some snow, will pass mid to late next week, followed by much colder air with Arctic blast in early December.

We could actually get a good blast of warmth & there could be enough CAPE with the shear for severe weather from Missouri to Louisiana.

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Look at that strong Arctic high, that clipper, the snow showers & that Arctic air blasting in:

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There is that cold as it drops south in early December after warm surge:

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Stays cold with some snowfall risk with a couple clippers until after December 15:

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Widespread mild weather shows up closer to Christmas:

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This should change as we end December & move into January.  Much, much colder weather should arrive with snow risk.

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