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Sunday evening forecast plus rain chances for early next week

Storms look to return Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

Posted: Aug 5, 2018 4:08 PM
Updated: Aug 5, 2018 4:38 PM

Sunday Evening Forecast:

The hot weekend continues this Sunday afternoon. We're seeing temperatures in the mid 80's up to the low 90's across the region. Factor in the heat index, and certain areas feel like their in the upper 90's.

The winds from the south has been played a large role in the weekend warm-up. After the rain from last week, we saw the winds shift to a more southerly flow. This allows for warmer air to move into the region from the tropics. Currently, winds are moderate, ranging between 10 to 15 miles per hour for a majority of the region. This movement of the air is helping to mitigate some of the heat.

If you need to get any yard work done or want to enjoy the outdoors, today will be the best day to do so out of the next three. The only reason we have a yellow light for this evening is due to the heat. We're tracking an approaching low pressure system that will bring the chance of rain for Monday afternoon and Tuesday. In addition to the rain, this system will bring cooler temperatures for the seven day forecast.  For this evening, temperatures will remain in the 80's until sunset. The low tonight will drop to around 70 degrees.

Monday and Tuesday Rain Synopsis

The system we are tracking is currently sitting over portions of Iowa into Nebraska. It will continue it's east/southeastward path, bringing the potential for showers and storms Monday into Tuesday.

Let's talk about timing for Monday...

We'll see clear conditions for the morning commute, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions. Expect temperatures in the mid 70's by the time you head out the door. Cloudy coverage will continuously increase as a cold front approaches. By mid-afternoon, we'll see mostly cloudy conditions.

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for severe weather for parts of Newton and Jasper counties, while the remainder of the viewing area is currently under a marginal risk for severe weather. On a scale of 1-5, the slight classifies as a 2 in terms of severe threat, and the marginal risk classifies as a 1. The main risks will be small sized hail, strong winds, and areas of heavy precipitation creating limited visibility.

I think chances for storms will start late afternoon, between 3-5 pm. These storms will be building ahead of the cold front. This will pose the greatest severe threat, as they will be forming in a favorable environment for strong storms. Warm temperatures (we'll be in the mid to upper 80's by this time), adequate daytime heating (meaning limited clouds), and a relatively unstable atmosphere. Models are favoring development mainly for eastern Indiana, but we cannot rule out the chance for storms during this time for our viewing area.

The main front looks to arrive into the late evening/overnight hours, mainly after 10 pm. Most will see rain with the passing of this line.

The marginal risk for severe weather remains through Tuesday, mainly due to the passing of the cold front during the overnight hours.

We'll see a brief break in the showers early Tuesday morning before they return for the late morning and afternoon. Tuesday will bring more widespread rain and scattered storms.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 34574

Reported Deaths: 2134
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9853578
Lake3616190
Allen161869
Cass15877
Elkhart132228
St. Joseph127434
Hendricks116971
Hamilton115993
Johnson1105108
Madison58659
Porter53928
Bartholomew51135
Clark50441
LaPorte43323
Howard40828
Tippecanoe4023
Jackson3891
Delaware38537
Shelby37322
Hancock33827
Floyd31839
Boone31535
Morgan27724
Vanderburgh2742
Montgomery24117
White2358
Noble23221
Clinton2321
Decatur22431
Grant21122
Dubois1993
Harrison19422
Henry18211
Greene16924
Vigo1698
Dearborn16821
Monroe16612
Warrick16628
Lawrence16324
Miami1401
Putnam1377
Kosciusko1351
Jennings1304
Orange12822
Scott1203
Franklin1108
Ripley1096
Marshall1082
Carroll932
Daviess8816
Steuben832
Wayne825
LaGrange812
Wabash782
Newton7810
Fayette777
Jasper671
Washington521
Jay520
Clay511
Fulton491
Rush472
Randolph473
Pulaski460
Jefferson451
Whitley423
Starke393
DeKalb371
Sullivan361
Owen351
Brown331
Perry330
Wells320
Benton300
Huntington282
Knox280
Tipton251
Blackford252
Crawford240
Fountain212
Switzerland200
Spencer201
Parke180
Gibson172
Posey160
Adams151
Ohio130
Warren121
Martin110
Vermillion100
Union90
Pike60
Unassigned0167
West Lafayette
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 75° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 73°
Kokomo
Clear
67° wxIcon
Hi: 73° Lo: 62°
Feels Like: 67°
Rensselaer
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 68°
Fowler
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 68°
Williamsport
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 72°
Crawfordsville
Clear
67° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 67°
Frankfort
Scattered Clouds
69° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 69°
Delphi
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 68°
Monticello
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 73° Lo: 63°
Feels Like: 68°
Logansport
Clear
66° wxIcon
Hi: 74° Lo: 62°
Feels Like: 66°
Hot, humid weather with severe weather risk.
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