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September 8, 3 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest on a cool-down to end the week after some very warm to hot, muggy weather.

Posted: Sep 8, 2020 2:19 PM
Updated: Sep 8, 2020 4:43 PM

After storms shifted north of our area early, early this morning & an outflow boundary popped a storm or two in the northwest this morning, outflow boundary will pop a some storms this afternoon-evening.  These storms would tend to our over the northwestern half of the viewing area (Lafayette & northwestward).  An isolated severe storm or two is possible.

Otherwise, it looks dry, very warm to hot & muggy with highs today 77-90 (coolest northwest) with most of the area in the 85-90 range.  Heat indices will run 79-97 (coolest northwest).  Most of the area will see heat indices in the 90s.

As I type this, our WLFI ob site weather station reads 87 with a heat index of 95 with southwest wind at 7 mph.

After 60s for lows tonight (with some patchy fog), highs tomorrow should reach 83-90 with heat indices of 85-96.

A couple/few isolated storms are possible in the afternoon-evening.

Cold front should pass Thursday morning with a couple of isolated showers with mostly cloudy skies.

The rest of the day looks breezy with north-northeast to northeast winds at 14-27 mph.

Skies should be partly to mostly cloudy with highs in the 75-81 range.

After 50s Thursday night, highs Friday should run 76-80 with partly cloudy skies & with east to east-northeast wind at 10-20 mph.

Warm front moves through area Friday night-early Saturday morning with lows in the 50s & 60s as clouds increase.

Wind will turn from the east to the southeast to the south, then southwest at 10-15 mph Saturday morning-afternoon with highs in the 81-86 range.

It will also turn humid with partly cloudy skies becoming mostly cloudy late.  A few scattered storms are possible in the strong warm air & moisture advection by late afternoon-evening.

Cold front looks to pass through Sunday, though timing is in question.  Just kept in generic with 40% storm coverage with highs in the 82-87 range.  It may be cooler & less humid with any scattered rainfall confined to the morning if the front speeds up.

Monday-Friday of next week currently looks dry with sun & highs 76-82 with lows in the 50-57 range giving way to highs 81-86 with lows 55-60.

We will continue to monitor for any tweaks to the forecast where we have to add risk of a bit of rainfall. 

Friday, September 19 to Sunday, September 21 currently looks just a hair cooler with sunshine, light winds & highs in the 77-83 range with lows 50-57.

The trend after September 22, overall, is for above normal temperatures to dominate with a continued drier pattern. 

Temperatures above normal late September to early October:

Dry regime late September to early October:

Early to mid-October looks warmer than normal:

Early to mid-October favors continued drier regime:

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Cool, wet evening....rain ending, but fog redeveloping.....
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