September 8, 1 PM: Your Forecast Update

Center of TD Gordon is located just southeast of St. Louis. Rain & wind should be picking up from south to north this afternoon.

Posted: Sep 8, 2018 12:29 PM
Updated: Sep 8, 2018 1:00 PM

Flood warnings are up for South Fork of Wildcat Creek in Tippecanoe County, Wildcat Creek Tippecanoe, Carroll & Howard counties, Wabash River in Tippecanoe County, Tippecanoe River in Tippecanoe & Carroll counties.

Here are all the latest flooding forecasts from hydrologists at the National Weather Service, Indianapolis office:

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=IND

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Center of TD Gordon is located just southeast of St. Louis.

Heaviest rainfall & severe risk will stay south of our area, however gusty winds & heavier rainfall will overspread the area with time as the center moved northeastward.

Temperatures today will remain in the cool 60s.

So it is steady light to moderate rain over much of the area now, but those bands of heavier rainfall are migrating up from the south.

Here is a projection of the rainfall via the high resolution HRRR model (it is missing a few frames).  Again, note the heaviest rainfall staying south of our area, but note that there are two periods were the rainfall really picks up in the area.

One is later this afternoon, followed by a slackening of the rainfall.  Then, overnight, note the bands of heavier rainfall pivoting northwestward.  These periods look to have the highest rainfall rates. 

So far, anywhere from 0.60" in the far north to as much as 5" of rainfall in the far south has occurred.  Another 1.40-2" (isolated 3" amounts) of rainfall is likely area-wide by Sunday evening from north to south.

As the gradient between Gordon & the Quebec high tightens, winds will increase from the east-northeast.  Gusts will peak at 35-45 mph tonight.

Note the bands of purple indicating the +30 mph gusts.  Winds will be sustained at 15-20 mph at the peak.

The center circulation of Gordon should reach Fort Wayne by tomorrow.  The steady rainfall should become showery/drizzly Sunday.  It will still be breezy with gusts to 25 mph through the afternoon from the northeast, but the 35-45 mph gusts should exit early.  Temperatures should remain in the 60s all day.

With the Gordon remnants cutting off in eastern Michigan, I am trending mostly cloudy to cloudy Monday until late afternoon-evening with perhaps a few patches of drizzle early in the day.  Highs will run in the 70s with a northwest wind at 10-15 mph.

Tuesday-Friday looks great with lots of sun during the day, patchy fog in the morning & highs in the 80s with lows in the 50s to near 60.

It will turn hotter, humid next weekend with a few isolated storms.  Highs will run in the 80s to a few places approaching to reaching 90.

BIG changes are ahead beyond around September 19-20 with many nights will lows well down into the 40s with below normal temperatures dominating for a bit.

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