It was a warm night by September standards with lows at only 69-74.
Forecast has tended to follow what we normally thought rather than model data in that any storms would be isolated early this morning, then increase today rather than a lot of storms overnight & drier weather today. Heavy storms with severe weather occurred overnight-early this morning in Michigan to Ontario & far northeastern Ohio.
So, storms with 50% coverage (on average) are likely today, followed by any storms migrating northward out of our area this evening-tonight.
There is a MARGINAL RISK of severe weather area-wide today.
Most of the storms are trending north & northwest of the area Tuesday-Wednesday with very warm to hot, humid weather here with southerly winds.
A few showers & storms are possible Thursday as the cold front moves through.
What is interesting is that the ridge in the East will hold the record cold in the Plains & eastern slope of the Rockies at bay.
Meanwhile, record heat & extreme fire danger will occur in the Far West.
We will finally see the cooler air come in at the end of the week with highs in the 70s.We will warm back up again above normal for latter September.