It may be in the 80s today, certainly cooler than yesterday, but it will remain muggy (despite a northeast wind).
With partly to mostly cloudy skies, a few showers & storms are possible today-tonight with peak of 35-40% coverage.
More widespread rainfall will move into the viewing area Friday-Friday night with an isolated of thunder. Winds will increase from the northeast at 15-25 mph.
With cloudy skies, highs Friday will only run near 70 to the mid 70s with lows in the 60s in the morning.
Saturday looks rainy, breezy & cool. Note potential severe risk developing in Arkansas, southeastern MIssouri, western Kentucky to far southwestern Indiana Saturday evening. Here, it is just a steady rain.
Winds will increase in the evening-night to 25-40 mph.
Note the core of strong winds just north of the center of the tropical depression Saturday evening-night just south of our area (gusts +45 mph). By 8 p.m., some gusts to 40 mph from the east are possible in our southern counties & gusts to 38 mph projected at Lafayette, 30 mph in the north.
With cloudy skies, highs Saturday will only run near 70 after lows in the 60s in the morning.
The heaviest rainfall should pass Saturday night-early Sunday morning. This is also when the strongest gusts of 35-45 mph should pass with sustained winds at 15-25 mph from the east.
Rainfall of 2-6" is possible with the heaviest totals right on our southern tier & lightest totals in the north. This forecast will continue to be fine-tuned as we edge closer to the passage of Gordon, so this may be decreased or increased or remain the same, depending on the track. It is still a little bit unclear where the band of heavier rainfall will set up.
Rainfall will decrease Sunday, as will the wind, which will turn to the north, then northwest. With lots of clouds, highs will only run near 70 to the lower 70s.
Next week looks nice with highs near 80 to the mid 80s with lows in the 50s to the lower 60s. Days will have lots of sun with some patchy fog in the mornings.
A taste of summer heat & humidity will return at the end of the week to next weekend with nothing more than a few isolated storms.
Next decent potential of some storms would be near September 19/20 period as a strong cold front passes.
Overall upper ridging with above normal temperatures will give way to cooler upper troughiness late in the month. This will led to a period of below normal temperatures.
Widespread lows in the 40s are possible on several nights.
Other than the rainfall from Gordon, rainfall is a below normal overall through late September.
Note the upper troughiness (cool) giving way to ridging (warm) in early October, leading to temperatures shooting back above normal again.
However, note a couple of deep upper troughs after the first few days of October. This may lead to storminess, then cooler weather.
You can tell this is an overall drier pattern. Rainfall now-October 7 is projected to total 3-7" over the area. If 2-6" falls with Gordon indirectly & directly, that does not leave a lot of widespread rainfall to occur after that right to early October.
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