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September 30, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest low-down on the trends now to Halloween based on new data that has arrived this evening & tonight.

Posted: Sep 30, 2020 9:49 PM
Updated: Sep 30, 2020 11:05 PM

Highs today ran 64-74 after morning lows of 46-51.

It was also the windiest day we have seen (non-t'storm winds) since June with peak gusts at 31-43 mph over the viewing area.

Lows of 42-47 are likely tonight with skies becoming partly cloudy.

Thursday will be windy (gusts +30 mph from the west to northwest) with isolated showers in the morning giving way to a scattering of some showers & t'showers in the PM.  A couple showers, t'showers may produce graupal or small hail.

Highs of 58-67 north to south area expected with around 63 in the Greater Lafayette area.

Friday looks partly cloudy after 40-45 in the morning & highs 57-63.

Some patchy frost is likely Friday night-early Saturday morning with lows 33-39 (37 around Greater Lafayette).  It appears that the coldest temperatures will set up over our eastern & southeastern counties.

The relatively warm waters of Lake Michigan & some scattered clouds/cloudiness will prevent the temperature from getting as cold in the northwest.

Clouds will increase Saturday with highs 63-67 with breezy conditions (south-southwest wind 15-24 mph).

The clipper system will bring one wave of showers Saturday night to early Sunday morning with lows 48-54.

Then, some sun should appear & clouds bubble up with some scattered showers & storms possible (isolated small hail possible). 

Highs will run 60-69 with strong southwest to west to northwest with gusts +30 mph.

A clipper with gusty southwest, then west winds & a couple isolated showers is still on-track for Tuesday PM with highs of 67-73.

Winds should diminish & skies turn mostly sunny to sunny skies Wednesday with highs 66-74, followed by lows of 39-46 Wednesday night.

On the back side of the surface high, the winds should go southwest & increase Thursday with mostly sunny to sunny skies & highs 73-79.

Meanwhile, hurricane will likely make landfall on the Panhandle of Florida or right into Apalachee Bay.

You can see the soil moisture anomalies from across the Northeast through the Corn Belt (except northwest Illinois & southern Wisconsin) back to western Nebraska, Colorado & over the Four Corners (as compared to normal for the time of year).

It is especially dry from eastern & northeastern White to Pulaski, Fulton, northern Miami, Cass & northern Carroll counties.  Some spots have are now in a 7" deficit for rainfall since June 1.

You can see areas from Lake Freeman & Shafer, through the Tippecanoe River Valley, northeastward to the Fort Wayne area that are especially dry with some areas only seeing 50% of their normal rainfall for the past 180 days.

Many lakes, rivers & streams are very low in the area, especially from White to Fulton counties & northeastward.  Evaporation was also above normal this summer, especially in late May, through June & into July.  June 6-20 saw the highest evaporation rates in the growing season since 2012 with temperatures as high as 95 in the area & 12 of those days with the relative humidity over much of the area as low as 12% with dew points to the 30s & 40s.  Such low dew points in June are rare & prior to 2020, you have to go back to 2012 to find that kind of dry air in such a lush, green, wet time of year.  Prior to that, you have to go back to 1992, then 1988 to find dew points & evaporation like that.

To have so many days in a row with that kind of evaporation in June usually only occurs once or twice a decade (average out to 1.8 actually over the past 70 years).

In terms of rainfall, it looks below normal for the month of October.

Temperatures look above normal for October.

Usually in the early stages of a La Nina, you'd see the warmth farther east & below normal temperatures developing in far western Canada to the Pacific Northwest.  Not in this case, however.

For November...........

Above normal precipitation should occur from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Rockies eastward through the northern Plains to the northern Great Lakes & Northern New England.  Our precipitation looks a bit below normal.

Below normal temperatures & above normal snowfall should dominate from the Pacific Northwest through the Northern Rockies, Northern Plains, Northern Great Lakes, but below normal in New England.

Above normal temperatures & below normal snowfall should occur for the rest of the Lower 48.

We look overall warmer than normal.

West Lafayette
Mostly Cloudy
56° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 56°
Kokomo
Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 55°
Rensselaer
Cloudy
57° wxIcon
Hi: 60° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 57°
Fowler
Partly Cloudy
56° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 56°
Williamsport
Partly Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 58° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 55°
Crawfordsville
Mostly Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 56° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 55°
Frankfort
Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 55°
Delphi
Mostly Cloudy
56° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 56°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
56° wxIcon
Hi: 60° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 56°
Logansport
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 54°
Welcome rain will continue, followed by a nice end to the week..
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 937221

Reported Deaths: 15239
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1276111977
Lake631621093
Allen53394752
Hamilton43720447
St. Joseph41805587
Elkhart33451489
Vanderburgh30262444
Tippecanoe26779249
Johnson23524417
Hendricks22143341
Porter21620345
Clark17363227
Madison17280382
Vigo16046276
Monroe14422191
LaPorte14263239
Delaware14014220
Howard13802272
Kosciusko11345135
Hancock10785163
Warrick10641176
Bartholomew10510167
Floyd10398204
Wayne9897222
Grant9068204
Morgan8833159
Boone8368110
Dubois7696123
Dearborn758489
Henry7563130
Noble7380101
Marshall7326128
Cass7160117
Lawrence6940153
Shelby6543110
Jackson653185
Gibson6124106
Harrison602885
Huntington597394
Montgomery5767105
DeKalb570791
Knox5417104
Miami539087
Putnam534067
Clinton532465
Whitley522652
Steuben495068
Wabash481592
Jasper477361
Jefferson466991
Ripley451975
Adams442566
Daviess4120108
Scott403964
White389457
Clay388456
Greene386890
Decatur383996
Wells383083
Fayette373178
Posey359041
Jennings351356
Washington330647
LaGrange319575
Spencer316635
Fountain313654
Randolph310688
Sullivan304847
Owen282761
Starke278562
Orange275059
Fulton274653
Jay253536
Perry250852
Carroll243128
Franklin237038
Vermillion231950
Rush231730
Parke218320
Tipton208955
Pike205639
Blackford167934
Pulaski162251
Crawford145418
Newton142745
Benton141916
Brown134646
Martin128016
Switzerland125210
Warren114216
Union95811
Ohio78511
Unassigned0474

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