Some scattered showers/storms will continue to pass this evening, then rapidly diminish after 8 p.m.
MARGINAL RISK of severe is nearly up to the state line by Warren County. There, some enhanced shear is nudging in, so we will watch our far western & southwestern counties to see if an isolated severe storm can develop.
Patchy fog is then possible overnight to tomorrow morning with lows 64-69 with southeast to south winds 5-10 mph decreasing to 2-5 mph.
We look dry overnight through Tuesday with breezy to windy (south-southwest winds 15-30 mph) conditions, sunshine with a few clouds & highs 85-90 with heat indices 90-97.
It would get warmer than 85-90 if not for our wetter soils now in the area.
Heavy storms with severe risk & flooding will occur north & northwest of our area with snow to the western Dakotas.
Hottest weather in the region will occur where soils are the driest with mid to upper 90s in southern Indiana to Kentucky & Tennessee.
Although some of our wind will be blowing from that area, I still think wetter soils will prevent us from 89-93 & keep us more at 85-90.
Night-time lows of 67-72 will be near/at record high low temperatures for a couple to a few nights.
It will be humid though!
It is a tail of two halves of the country Monday-Wednesday with record heat from the Ohio Vally to the Southeast & record cold in the West & Northern Rockies to Northern High Plains.
Showers & some storms are possible here late Wednesday-Wednesday night to Thursday morning.
Much cooler weather will arrive Thursday on strong north winds to 30 mph.
Temperatures will run below normal Thursday through next weekend with lows in the 30s to 40 Friday night-Saturday morning.
Next weekend, Saturday looks great, but it will cloud up Sunday with afternoon-evening showers coming in with an isolated t'shower or two.
For the Feast of the Hunter's Moon...............
After a breezy, mostly sunny Friday, Saturday will not have the wind, but it will still be mostly sunny.
After a cold start Saturday, highs should reach near 68.
Saturday night will be chilly, but not as bad as Friday night.
Again, it should cloud-up Sunday with timing of the rainfall currently after midday.
Another shot of cold air will follow early to mid next week with lows 32-36 on a couple of mornings possible with highs 50s & 60s.
Some rainfall is possible Thursday morning (warm front), followed by a break with a strong southwest wind Thursday afternoon.
A broken line of showers & storms is possible in the evening. After 47-54 in the morning & only 50s to 60 up to midday, we may surge to 70-73 by early evening.
An isolated severe storms could occur in Illinois.
We will see if this risk expands into our area.
After brief cooling again, mid-October looks warmer to much warmer than normal with a round of storms & some severe risk perhaps around October 20.
That may usher in an October 22-23 freeze with 26-32.
Much warmer weather should occur in late, late October & into early November with stormy, wet pattern.