September 28, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

More near record warmth ahead!

Posted: Sep 27, 2021 10:59 PM
Updated: Sep 27, 2021 11:36 PM

Highs today reached 87-92.

Strong southwest winds gusting as high as 39 mph with relative humidity down to 20% resulting in significant evaporation today. 

As weak surface cold front moves through & then washes out over area, the wind will turn to the north to northeast at 1-5 mph.

As temperatures cool to 56-62 & fog bank moves from Lake Michigan & Erie & gets trapped under inversion, areas of fog & very low clouds will occur in tonight, largely north of Highway 18.

This will burn off with light wind (NE to E 4-9 mph) & sunshine Tuesday with highs 80-88 over the area with 80 in the northeast to 88 in the far southwest & around 85 at Greater Lafayette.

Some patchy fog is expected early Wednesday morning with lows 55-60, followed by near-record warmth Wednesday.  88 is projected for Greater Lafayette.  The record high is 90 set in 1905.  Winds will be light from the south-southeast at 4-10 mph.

Thursday will be a hair cooler with 82-88.

Winds pick up Friday from the southeast with some increasing clouds & highs 81-87.

Humidity will be low Tuesday-Friday.

A few isolated showers/storms are possible late Saturday humid conditions, followed by a few scattered showers & storms Sunday-Monday with southeast to south to southwest winds.  This will occur as upper low from the Pacific & Southwest U.S. moves northeastward & surface cold front approaches.

We will turn cooler behind the front with some

High/Low That Morning...Date, Day Conditions

85/59...Sept. 28, Tue. AM Areas of Dense Fog & Low Clouds (Especially North of Highway 18), Then Clearing.....Mostly Sunny, NE to E to ESE 4-9 mph...Record: 89-1939

88/58...Sept. 29, Wed. Mostly Sunny, SE to SSE 4-9 mph...Record: 90-1905

85/61...Sept. 30, Thu. Mostly Sunny, SE 10-15 mph...Record: 96-1953

85/58...Oct. 1, Fri. Partly Cloudy, SE 15-25 mph...Record: 92-1897

83/65...Oct. 2, Sat. Party Cloudy, Isolated Showers Late, Becoming Humid, SSE to S Wind 15-25 mph...Record: 92-1983

81/66...Oct. 3, Sun. Mostly Cloudy with Some Sct'd Showers/Storms, Humid, S Wind 20-35 mph...Record: 90-1922

80/66...Oct. 4, Mon. Mostly Cloudy with Some Sct'd Showers/Storms, Humid, S to W Wind 10-15 mph....90-1954

71/50...Oct. 5, Tue. Partly Cloudy, N Wind 10 mph.

70/42...Oct. 6, Wed. Mostly Sunny, E to SE Wind 10-15 mph.

73/54...Oct. 7, Thu.  Increasing Clouds with Isolated Showers/T'Showers Possible, SW to W Wind 5-10 to 10-20 mph.

70/42...Oct. 8, Fri. Mostly Sunny, N to NE Wind 10 mph

73/45...Oct. 9, Sat. Mostly Sunny, N 5-10 mph

80/55...Oct. 10, Sun. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 15-30 mph...Record: 88-1938

85/65...Oct. 11, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 20-40 mph......Record: 86-2010

82/64...Oct. 12, Tue. Mostly Cloudy, Few Sct'd Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-30 mph...Record: 87-1930

58/52...Oct. 13, Wed. Mostly Cloudy with a Few Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Northwest Winds 15-25 mph.

60/35...Oct. 14, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.

66/35...Oct. 15, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SE Wind 5 mph.

74/48...Oct. 16, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 15-25 mph.

80/60...Oct. 17, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers & Storms Late, SW Wind 20-35 mph...Record: 86-1938

51/40...Oct. 18, Mon. Mostly Cloudy, NW Wind 20-35 mph.

55/30...Oct. 19, Tue. Mostly Sunny, NW Wind 5-10 mph.

58/30...Oct. 20, Wed. Sunny, NE Wind 5-10 mph.

63/33...Oct. 21, Thu. Sunny, S Wind 5-15 mph

72/49...Oct. 22, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SW Wind 20-35 mph

62/53...Oct. 23, Sat. Mostly Cloudy, NE Wind 10-15 mph

Drier than normal trend will be with us through October & November.

Brush & field fire risk will go up in October to November.

October precipitation anomalies below normal will dominate area. The main tropical storm & hurricane track from the western Caribbean to the Northeast U.S. with above normal rainfall. Areas from Virginia to Maine currently how the great potential of a landfalling tropical system in October.

Late in October, a landfalling tropical system is possible in Mexico with system orginating in the Bay of Campeche. That rainfall will promote above normal rainfall anomalies in parts of Texas to New Mexico & Arizona.

Usually, rainfall really cranks up in October from western Oregon to Washington.

This year, the main corridor of heavier rainfall in October will tend to be from far northwest Washington to British Columbia.

This will extend the dryness into a normally wetter time of year in the Pacific Northwest of the U.S.

After an overall warmer & drier than normal October-November, it still appears winter will hit suddenly & pretty hard in December. I am still going for below normal temperatures & above normal precipitation with above normal snowfall in December.

This year, we have a better shot at a White Christmas.

We should then turn suddenly mild around New Year's Eve & the warmer, wetter weather should continue into early January.

Thoughts are that winter returns in late January with colder weather & snow, but the very end of December through early January may have little to no snow at all (after a snowy December).

Late January through the first entire half of February looks colder & snowier than normal, but then late February should turn nice & mild & thaw again.

March still favors above normal temperatures & precipitation with below normal snowfall.

West Lafayette
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 37° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 23°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
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Hi: 36° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 26°
Rensselaer
Partly Cloudy
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Hi: 35° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 23°
Fowler
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 36° Lo: 19°
Feels Like: 23°
Williamsport
Partly Cloudy
33° wxIcon
Hi: 38° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 22°
Crawfordsville
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 39° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 20°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 37° Lo: 19°
Feels Like: 20°
Delphi
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 37° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 23°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 37° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 23°
Logansport
Partly Cloudy
32° wxIcon
Hi: 35° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 22°
Decreasing clouds this afternoon with slightly warmer temperatures
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