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September 26, 8:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Near record warmth possible at times this week in overall drier pattern, but at least some scattered showers & storms late next weekend as we see a cool-down back to seasonable temperatures.

Posted: Sep 26, 2021 6:56 PM
Updated: Sep 26, 2021 8:12 PM

Highs Saturday reached 68-74, while lows Sunday morning dropped to 43-53.  Highs today soared to 78-84. 

A warm week is ahead with near record warmth by Tuesday & Wednesday!

We likely won't see highs temperatures drop below 80 for part of the area until next weekend to next Monday.

It also looks dry this week with low humidity & a breeze resulting in significant evaporation.

The rainfall last week was so extremely important.  Without it & the bit we saw early Saturday morning, we'd be in an official drought over a good chunk of the area by now.

A couple rounds of some at least scattered showers/storms are possible Sunday-Monday of next week.  Otherwise, it is a dry regime dominating into October.

High/Low That Morning...Date, Day Conditions

87/62...Sept. 27, Mon. Mostly Sunny, SW 20-33 mph...Record: 93-1891

87/62...Sept. 28, Tue. Mostly Sunny, SW 5-15 mph...Record: 89-1939

87/57...Sept. 29, Wed. Mostly Sunny, SE 5-10 mph...Record: 90-1905

84/57...Sept. 30, Thu. Mostly Sunny, SE 10-15 mph...Record: 96-1953

83/57...Oct. 1, Fri. Partly Cloudy to Mostly Sunny, SE 15-25 mph...Record: 92-1897

85/65...Oct. 2, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SSE to S Wind 15-25 mph...Record: 92-1983

81/67...Oct. 3, Sun. Mostly Cloudy with Some Sct'd Showers/Storms, S Wind 20-35 mph...Record: 90-1922

80/66...Oct. 4, Mon. Mostly Cloudy with Some Sct'd Showers/Storms, S to W Wind 10-15 mph....90-1954

71/50...Oct. 5, Tue. Partly Cloudy, E to NE 10 mph.

70/46...Oct. 6, Wed. Mostly Sunny, NE 10-15 mph.

68/42...Oct. 7, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.

72/40...Oct. 8, Fri. Mostly Sunny, E Wind 5 mph

78/45...Oct. 9, Sat. Mostly Sunny, SW Wind 15-25 mph

83/60...Oct. 10, Sun. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 15-30 mph...Record: 88-1938

85/65...Oct. 11, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 20-40 mph......Record: 86-2010

82/64...Oct. 12, Tue. Mostly Cloudy, Few Sct'd Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-30 mph...Record: 87-1930

58/52...Oct. 13, Wed. Mostly Cloudy with a Few Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Northwest Winds 15-25 mph.

60/35...Oct. 14, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.

66/35...Oct. 15, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SE Wind 5 mph.

74/48...Oct. 16, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 15-25 mph.

80/60...Oct. 17, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers & Storms Late, SW Wind 20-35 mph...Record: 86-1938

51/40...Oct. 18, Mon. Mostly Cloudy, NW Wind 20-35 mph.

55/30...Oct. 19, Tue. Mostly Sunny, NW Wind 5-10 mph.

58/30...Oct. 20, Wed. Sunny, NE Wind 5-10 mph.

63/33...Oct. 21, Thu. Sunny, S Wind 5-15 mph

72/49...Oct. 22, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SW Wind 20-35 mph

62/53...Oct. 23, Sat. Mostly Cloudy, NE Wind 10-15 mph

Drier than normal trend will be with us through October & November.

Brush & field fire risk will go up in October to November.

October precipitation anomalies below normal will dominate area.  The main tropical storm & hurricane track from the western Caribbean to the Northeast U.S. with above normal rainfall. Areas from Virginia to Maine currently how the great potential of a landfalling tropical system in October.

Late in October, a landfalling tropical system is possible in Mexico with system orginating in the Bay of Campeche. That rainfall will promote above normal rainfall anomalies in parts of Texas to New Mexico & Arizona.

Usually, rainfall really cranks up in October from western Oregon to Washington.

This year, the main corridor of heavier rainfall in October will tend to be from far northwest Washington to British Columbia.

This will extend the dryness into a normally wetter time of year in the Pacific Northwest of the U.S.

After an overall warmer & drier than normal October-November, it still appears winter will hit suddenly & pretty hard in December. I am still going for below normal temperatures & above normal precipitation with above normal snowfall in December.

This year, we have a better shot at a White Christmas.

We should then turn suddenly mild around New Year's Eve & the warmer, wetter weather should continue into early January.

Thoughts are that winter returns in late January with colder weather & snow, but the very end of December through early January may have little to no snow at all (after a snowy December).

Late January through the first entire half of February looks colder & snowier than normal, but then late February should turn nice & mild & thaw again.

March still favors above normal temperatures & precipitation with below normal snowfall.

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Nice, Fall-Like Weekend!
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