September 26, 4 PM Weather Update: Some Frost On the Pumpkin In Places Saturday Morning!

Still looks like 30s & 40s are likely Saturday night with patchy frost in parts of the area. Overall, it looks cool & fall-like until a burst of muggy 80-85 returns next week.

Posted: Sep 26, 2018 1:47 PM
Updated: Sep 26, 2018 3:45 PM

The main weather story is the cool fall weather ahead with temperatures below normal.  Some patches of frost are possible in some places Friday night.  It will be a cool Friday Night Frenzy!

As for Thursday, after 42-48 tonight with a few clouds, it looks mostly sunny with a south-southwest wind developing at 8-12 mph & highs 68-73.  After 46-50 tomorrow night, Friday looks mostly sunny with highs of 64-69 with southwest winds becoming northwest & increasing from 5-11 mph to 10-20 in the afternoon before diminishing in the evening.

Weekend looks good until late Sunday.  As warm front approaches, a few showers are possible by Sunday evening as clouds increase through the day.  Only issue Saturday is a bit of a chill with highs at only 59-65 (Lows 40-46 Saturday night).

There goes the warm front northward Sunday-Monday-Tuesday.  Note the increase in the winds from the south & southwest.  MUCH warmer, more humid air will arrive temperatures surging into the 80s with overnight lows only in the 65-70 range.

A few showers/storms are possible Monday (30%) with a few more Tuesday (45%).  Severe weather risk will be northwest of our area Tuesday through Wednesday, but by the time the leftovers get here, they look much weaker Wednesday night.  We will still monitor.  This could change.

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Another shot of cooler air should then come back in after this burst of warmth.  Another burst of warmth should occur before a burst of cold returns near October 10 with potential frost/freezing.

All data points to very chilly weather in our area now to mid-October (when you look at the analogs).  HOWEVER, the southeastern hot subtropical ridge is key.  It will help to blockage some of the really chilly air & keep it in the northern Plains, Rockies & Canada where unusually early snows & near/record cold is possible.  We will still have bursts of chill, however.  In fact, it sure looks like our first widespread frost with a light freeze will occur near October 10 as a piece of that cold air & Arctic high settle over area.

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