Lows this morning rain 42-48.
About 75% of the viewing area was 42-45 this morning, which is anywhere from 2-8 days later than the normal first 45 for the area.
About 25% of the viewing area did not get to 45 & likely will not until around October 6, making their first 45 up to 19 days later than normal.
The normal first 40 is in the September 26-October period.
We will likely not see widespread lows around 40 until around October 8, up to 12 days later than normal.
Today, with all of the sunshine, warmth of 75-80, strong southwest winds & very low dew points to the 30s, we lost a lot of moisture that we gained a few days ago.
It is a good thing we received such widespread soaking rainfall this week. The only potential of much, if any, rainfall is tonight 1-5 a.m. There is a lack of rainfall for at least the next 10 days.
Band of showers & a few t'showers will pass between 1 & 5 a.m. early Saturday morning as tongue of higher moisture surges in ahead of surface Pacific cold front.
0.05-0.25" rain will be common with a few spots seeing up to 0.40".
This will give way to sunshine Saturday with 68-75, followed by 45-50 with some patchy fog Saturday night, then 76-81 with sun Sunday.
Next week will be very warm with lower to upper 80s with lows in the 50s to 60s with sun daily.
There will be more in the way of some clouds Thursday & Friday.
It looks very warm to Saturday, October 4.
Florida & the rest of the East Coast of the U.S. will need to be monitored for hurricane activity very late September through October. Late season direct hit from a significant hurricane is possible in October.
High/Low...Date, Day Conditions
74/56...Sept. 25, Sat. 50% Showers/Few T'Showers Sat. 1-5 AM, Then Clearing with Mostly Sunny Day, WNW to W Wind 10-20 mph
79/48...Sept. 26, Sun. Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy, SW 15-25 mph.
86/57...Sept. 27, Mon. Mostly Sunny, SW 15-32 mph...Record: 93-1891
87/61...Sept. 28, Tue. Mostly Sunny, SW 15-32 mph...Record: 89-1939
86/57...Sept. 29, Wed. Mostly Sunny, SE 5-10 mph...Record: 90-1905
83/58...Sept. 30, Thu. Partly Cloudy, W SE 10-15 mph...Record: 96-1953
83/60...Oct. 1, Fri. Partly Cloudy to Mostly Sunny, SE 15-25 mph...Record: 92-1897
88/64...Oct. 2, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SSE to S Wind 15-25 mph...Record: 92-1983
88/65...Oct. 3, Sun. Partly Cloudy, S Wind 20-35 mph...Record: 90-1922
84/68...Oct. 4, Mon. Partly Cloudy, Isolated Storms, W Wind 10-15 mph....90-1954
71/50...Oct. 5, Tue. Partly Cloudy, E to NE 10 mph.
70/46...Oct. 6, Wed. Mostly Sunny, NE 10-15 mph.
68/42...Oct. 7, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.
72/40...Oct. 8, Fri. Mostly Sunny, E Wind 5 mph
78/45...Oct. 9, Sat. Mostly Sunny, SW Wind 15-25 mph
83/60...Oct. 10, Sun. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 15-30 mph...Record: 88-1938
85/65...Oct. 11, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 20-40 mph......Record: 86-2010
82/64...Oct. 12, Tue. Mostly Cloudy, Few Sct'd Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-30 mph...Record: 87-1930
58/52...Oct. 13, Wed. Mostly Cloudy with a Few Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Northwest Winds 15-25 mph.
60/35...Oct. 14, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.
66/35...Oct. 15, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SE Wind 5 mph.
74/48...Oct. 16, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 15-25 mph.
80/60...Oct. 17, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers & Storms Late, SW Wind 20-35 mph...Record: 86-1938
51/40...Oct. 18, Mon. Mostly Cloudy, NW Wind 20-35 mph.
55/30...Oct. 19, Tue. Mostly Sunny, NW Wind 5-10 mph.
58/30...Oct. 20, Wed. Sunny, NE Wind 5-10 mph.
63/33...Oct. 21, Thu. Sunny, S Wind 5-15 mph
72/49...Oct. 22, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SW Wind 20-35 mph
62/53...Oct. 23, Sat. Mostly Cloudy, NE Wind 10-15 mph
Drier than normal trend will be with us through October & November.
Brush & field fire risk will go up in October to November.
October precipitation anomalies (yellow is below normal)................note the main tropical storm & hurricane track from the western Caribbean to the Northeast U.S. with above normal rainfall. Areas from Virginia to Maine currently how the great potential of a landfalling tropical system in October.
Late in October, a landfalling tropical system is possible in Mexico with system orginating in the Bay of Campeche. That rainfall will promote above normal rainfall anomalies in parts of Texas to New Mexico & Arizona.
Usually, rainfall really cranks up in October from western Oregon to Washington.
This year, the main corridor of heavier rainfall in October will tend to be from far northwest Washington to British Columbia.
This will extend the dryness into a normally wetter time of year in the Pacific Northwest of the U.S.
After an overall warmer & drier than normal October-November, it still appears winter will hit suddenly & pretty hard in December. I am still going for below normal temperatures & above normal precipitation with above normal snowfall in December.
This year, we have a better shot at a White Christmas.
We should then turn suddenly mild around New Year's Eve & the warmer, wetter weather should continue into early January.
Thoughts are that winter returns in late January with colder weather & snow, but the very end of December through early January may have little to no snow at all (after a snowy December).
Late January through the first entire half of February looks colder & snowier than normal, but then late February should turn nice & mild & thaw again.
March still favors above normal temperatures & precipitation with below normal snowfall.