Highs today reached 73-79, but a chunk of those highs occurred before 9 a.m. today.
As of 10:30 p.m., temperatures are running 59-62.
Upper disturbance has induced Miller Type B cyclogenesis in northeastern Arkansas which all equates to this new low deepening, moving northward & enhancing the rainfall here tonight-tomorrow.
Rain tonight will go to showery weather with a couple to few breaks in the clouds mid to late morning-midday Wednesday. Then, steady rain should return, pivoting in from the southeast & east.
Winds will be strong from the north at 20-30 mph & with highs at only 58-66, it will feel cool & Fall-like.
An additional 2-3" rainfall is expected in our eastern half with 1-2" a bit farther westward & less than 1" in the west part of the viewing area.
Scattered showers early Thursday will taper to spotty then isolated showers. Some clearing is expected to occur south to north during the afternoon-evening.
Highs of 62-69 are expected with strong north-northwest winds 20-33 mph.
Winds should go light to calm with clear skies Thursday night. With some patchy fog, lows of 43-47 are expected.
Friday looks mostly sunny & warm with winds becoming strong from the southwest at 20-35 mph. Highs of 74-79 are likely, followed by partly to mostly cloudy skies Friday night & a few scattered showers in the 12 a.m.-4 a.m. as a weak surface cold front passes.
This will turn the wind to the west Saturday with highs 70-77 with lots of sunshine & lows 45-49 Saturday night.
Sunday-Tuesday weather looks good with sunshine & increasingly warmer weather as winds turns to the southwest.
We overall look pretty dry after this rain with no substantial rains to early October at least.
High/Morning Low...Date, Day. Conditions
62/55...Sept. 22, Wed. Cloudy (Brief Bout with a Few Breaks In the Clouds Mid to Late AM to Midday), Showery to Rain, NW to N Wind 20-30 mph.
67/50...Sept. 23, Thu., Scattered, Then Isolated Showers Shifting Northward Through the Day with Clearing South to North, N to NW Wind 20-33 mph.
78/45...Sept. 24, Fri., Patchy AM Fog Possible, Then Mostly Sunny to Sunny.......Turning Partly to Mostly Cloudy Friday Night-Early Saturday Morning with a Few Scattered Showers 12 AM-4 AM...SW Wind 20-35 mph Friday afternoon.
75/56...Sept. 25, Sat., Partly Cloudy AM, Then Mostly Sunny, W Wind 10-15 mph.
78/47...Sept. 26, Sun., Mostly Sunny, Calm Wind Becoming S 5-10 mph.
83/54...Sept. 27, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 10-20 mph.
83/60...Sept. 28, Tue. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10-20 mph.
84/60...Sept. 29, Wed. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10-15 mph.
85/64...Sept 30, Thu. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 10-20 mph.
73/65...Oct. 1, Fri. Mostly Cloudy, Some Sct'd Showers/Storms Possible, SSW 10-20 mph
71.52...Oct. 2, Sat. Partly Cloudy, NW Wind 10-25 mph
71/46...Oct. 3, Sun. Partly Cloudy, NW Wind 10-20 mph.
70/44...Oct. 4, Mon. Partly Cloudy, W Wind 10-15 mph.
71/42...Oct. 5, Tue. Partly Cloudy, WNW 10 mph.
72/44...Oct. 6, Wed. Mostly Sunny, W 10 mph.
72/44...Oct. 7, Thu. Mostly Sunny, NW Wind 5-10 mph.
73/43...Oct. 8, Fri. Mostly Sunny, E Wind 5 mph
78/52...Oct. 9, Sat. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10 mph
83/60...Oct. 10, Sun. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 15-30 mph...Records: 88-1938
85/65...Oct. 11, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 20-40 mph......Records: 86-2010
83/64...Oct. 12, Tue. Mostly Cloudy, Sct'd Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-30 mph...Records: 87-1930
58/52...Oct. 13, Wed. Mostly Cloudy with a Few Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Northwest Winds 15-25 mph.
60/35...Oct. 14, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.
66/35...Oct. 15, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SE Wind 5 mph.
74/48...Oct. 16, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW 15-25 mph.
80/60...Oct. 17, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers & Storms Late, SW 20-35 mph.
52/40...Oct. 18, Mon. Mostly Cloudy, NW 20-35 mph.
56/30...Oct. 19, Tue. Mostly Sunny, NW 5-10 mph.
60/30...Oct. 20, Wed. Sunny, NE 5-10 mph.
65/34...Oct. 21, Thu. Sunny, S 5-15 mph
72/49...Oct. 22, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SW 20-35 mph
Drier than normal trend will be with us through October & November.
Brush & field fire risk will go up in October to November.
After an overall warmer & drier than normal October-November, it still appears winter will hit suddenly & pretty hard in December. I am still going for below normal temperatures & above normal precipitation with above normal snowfall.
This year, we have a better shot at a White Christmas.
We should then turn suddenly mild around New Year's Eve & the warmer, wetter weather should continue into early January.
Thoughts are that winter returns in late January with colder weather & snow, but the very end of December through early January may have little to no snow at all (after a snowy December).
Late January through the first entire half of February looks colder & snowier than normal, but then late February should turn nice & mild & thaw again.
March still favors above normal temperatures & precipitation with below normal snowfall.