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September 22, 10 PM Weather Forecast

Hazy & warmer with some scattered showers/storms possible Sunday, along with some severe weather risk.

Posted: Sep 22, 2020 9:18 PM
Updated: Sep 22, 2020 10:27 PM

Lows this morning varied from 39-53.  Most of the area was 46-51.

Highs today reached 77-81 with smoky haze (from continued Far West wildfires) & some increasing cirrus cloudiness (& even a halo) courtesy of what was once Tropical Storm Beta.

Rainfall from Beta will stay south of our area, but it will bring partly then mostly cloudy skies tomorrow (high & mid clouds with dim to fading sun).  This, amidst smoky haze from Far West wildfires.

Highs will run 78-81 after morning lows of 47-54.

Winds will be southwest tomorrow at 7-15 mph.

After lows of 53-58 Wednesday night, highs Thursday should reach 80-85 as skies clear & becoming mostly sunny to sunny.

Winds will be southwest to south-southwest at 10-20 mph.

With partly cloudy skies developing, lows of 54-59 are likely Thursday night, followed by sunshine, smoky haze & 80-86 Friday.  Lows Friday night, with a southwest wind at 10 mph, will only drop to 61-66.

The humidity will remain low over the next few days, but the dew points will not be extremely bone dry like they were over the weekend & at the end of last week.

Strong south-sotuhwest winds will be strong on Saturday with dew points rising to 60-64 (a bit humid).  With partly cloudy skies, highs of 84-89 are likely.

Some scattered showers & storms are possible Sunday.

It looks like a few in the morning, then a break, followed by some storms in the evening to night-time hours.

Despite lack of the best instability & cold temps aloft, dynamics & strong wind fields show potential of MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK for severe.

 

We cool off early next week, then what is left of what will likely become Hurricane Dolphin & possibly another tropical system in the western & northern Pacific, combined with a vigorous Mongolian-Chinese-Siberian upper trough means a powerhouse storm in the Bering Sea & western Alaska.

This potentially near-bomb storm will dislodge a chunk of colder air southward that will arrive late next week.

This pattern of us being cooler than normal for a bit with highs in the 60s & lows in the 30s means EXTREME wildfire conditions in California with strong Santa Ana & Diablo wind event & record heat shaping up there.

It is a pretty dry & then warmer pattern into early October with 80s returning.

I do think we need to watch the Gulf Coast for potential hurricane before October 10.  My original thought was the Carolinas, but it looks like the ridge may force tropical activity back a bit more to the west.

That, of course, is always a forecast wildcard for us.  Amidst an overall dry, dry pattern, the tropics can change that quickly.  The tropical activity can also alter the Northern Hemispheric pattern, as well.  You can see that occurring with the cool-down late next week!

West Lafayette
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Hi: 47° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 41°
Kokomo
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Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
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Rensselaer
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Hi: 41° Lo: 30°
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Fowler
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Hi: 41° Lo: 32°
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Williamsport
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Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 37°
Crawfordsville
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Hi: 46° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 42°
Frankfort
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Hi: 46° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 42°
Delphi
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Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 41°
Monticello
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Hi: 45° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 36°
Logansport
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Hi: 44° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 36°
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