After highs of 89-94 yesterday, we have seen one area of showers pass through this morning. Totals vary from 0.01" to 0.57". Much of the area saw 0.10-0.25".
With some pockets of sun appearing now, some new scattered showers & t'showers will continue to develop & pass this afternoon before exiting this evening.
Much of the night looks dry, muggy & warm with 70s.
Showers & storms will approach from the west.
The first initial broken line of showers & storms with the cold front should arrive into our western counties by 5 a.m. & that will move eastward, making it to our eastern counties by 8 a.m.
The bulk of the rainfall & storm action will occur just behind that line & just behind the front.
That will pass during the morning to midday hours.
It appears that light to moderate showers will continue through the afternoon to Tuesday evening.
With northwest winds 15-25 mph & temperatures falling into the 60s it will feel much more Fall-like!
From now to Tuesday night, 0.50-1.40" of rainfall is expected area-wide.
A few isolated showers are possible Wednesday with mostly cloudy skies & northwest winds 15-30 mph.
It will be quite Fall-like with highs only 64-69.
Lows in the 44-48 range are expected Wednesday night.
As for Thursday, it looks cool as well. With partly to mostly cloudy skies, highs of 65-70 are likely.
Thursday night lows, with clearing, should drop to 42-46.
Friday-Sunday looks GREAT with mostly sunny to sunny skies & temperatures warming to 75-81 Friday & Saturday & 78-85 Sunday. Lows will be in the 40s & 50s.
81/62...Sept. 27, Mon. Partly Cloudy, Isolated Showers/Storms, SW Wind 15-25 mph to NE Wind 10-20 mph.
72/48...Sept. 28, Tue. Sunny, E Wind 2-5 mph.
76/45...Sept. 29, Wed. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10-15 mph.
82/48...Sept 30, Thu. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 10-20 mph.
85/60...Oct. 1, Fri. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 10-20 mph...Records: 92-1897
82/63...Oct. 2, Sat. Mostly Cloudy, Some Sct'd Showers/Storms Possible, SSW 10-20 mph...Records: 92-1983
71/52...Oct. 3, Sun. Becoming Partly Cloudy, NW Wind 10-25 mph.
70/44...Oct. 4, Mon. Partly Cloudy, W Wind 10-15 mph.
71/42...Oct. 5, Tue. Partly Cloudy, WNW 10 mph.
72/44...Oct. 6, Wed. Mostly Sunny, W 10 mph.
71/44...Oct. 7, Thu. Mostly Sunny, NW Wind 5-10 mph.
72/42...Oct. 8, Fri. Mostly Sunny, E Wind 5 mph
78/52...Oct. 9, Sat. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10 mph
83/60...Oct. 10, Sun. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 15-30 mph...Records: 88-1938
85/65...Oct. 11, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 20-40 mph......Records: 86-2010
83/64...Oct. 12, Tue. Mostly Cloudy, Sct'd Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-30 mph...Records: 87-1930
58/52...Oct. 13, Wed. Mostly Cloudy with a Few Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Northwest Winds 15-25 mph.
60/35...Oct. 14, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.
66/35...Oct. 15, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SE Wind 5 mph.
74/48...Oct. 16, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW 15-25 mph.
80/60...Oct. 17, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers & Storms Late, SW 20-35 mph.
52/40...Oct. 18, Mon. Mostly Cloudy, NW 20-35 mph.
56/30...Oct. 19, Tue. Mostly Sunny, NW 5-10 mph.
60/30...Oct. 20, Wed. Sunny, NE 5-10 mph.
65/34...Oct. 21, Thu. Sunny, S 5-15 mph
72/49...Oct. 22, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SW 20-35 mph
After some of that rainfall Monday-Tuesday, pattern is quite dry for the rest of September.
Drier than normal trend continues through October & November.
Brush & field fire risk will go up substantially in October to November.
After an overall warmer & drier than normal October-November, it still appears winter will hit suddenly & pretty hard in December.I am still going for below normal temperatures & above normal precipitation with above normal snowfall.
This year, we have a better shot at a White Christmas.
We should then turn suddenly mild around New Year's Eve & the warmer, wetter weather should continue into early January.
Thoughts are that winter returns in late January with colder weather & snow, but the very end of December through early January may have little to no snow at all (after a snowy December).
Late January through the first entire half of February looks colder & snowier than normal, but then late February should turn nice & mild & thaw again.
March still favors above normal temperatures & precipitation with below normal snowfall.