Moderate Drought continues over a chunk of the area with Abnormally Dry conditions elsewhere. The only area not in any sort of dryness or drought designation is parts of Clinton & Howard counties.
Highs today reached 63-71 with a strong northeast to north-northeast wind gusting up to 30 mph in the area.
Extremely dry air came into the area this afternoon with dew points dropping to 17-24 with relative humidity levels as low as 15%.
With the wind, this zapped a lot of soil moisture.
Lows of 36-44 are likely tonight. Patchy frost is likely from northern Jasper through White, Cass to Miami counties & northward.
Frost south of that zone would be very localized & in the lowest, coldest locations.
Some patchy shallow fog is possible around areas of water & in low-lying areas.
After sunny skies, east to east-northeast winds at 8-17 mph & a lack of smoke overhead tomorrow (highs 65-72), we should drop back to 36-44 Saturday night (with some patchy shallow fog around water & in low-lying areas).
The normal first 45 or less of the Fall season is normally in the September 16-22.
However, getting to 40 or less tends to be September 26-October 2.
Areas that get to 36 tonight in our northeast mean that they will see such a cold temperature around two weeks earlier than normal.
Sunday will be sunny, but smoke should begin to return from the west & northwest to east & southeast.
Highs of 69-75 are likely as the east breeze turns to the east-southeast at 7-13 mph.
Looks dry for the next 7 days with temperatures warming to the 80s next week.
If you are looking for any rainfall, it likely will not arrive in the area until around a week from this Sunday
This would tend to occur as the remnants of a tropical system & cold front move into the area.
After that, it may be October 4 or 5 before we see any sort of rainfall. Interestingly, that may be a remnant tropical system that makes landfall in Mexico & move northward into the Plains.
Beyond that, unless there is another tropical system, it may be around October 17 before some more rainfall occurs.
Overall, October is still looking warmer & drier than normal for the area.