SEVERE WX : Flood Warning View Alerts

September 15, 12:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

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Posted: Sep 14, 2021 9:02 PM
Updated: Sep 15, 2021 12:31 PM

Highs Wednesday reached 89-93 with heat indices peaking at 92-99.

Rainfall was quite hit or miss Tuesday evening-night.  The highest measured total received was 1.17" near Denver in Miami County.

In terms of severe weather, trees & powerlines were downed northeast of Denver & a large limb was reported down southeast of Denver.

Multiple reports of 0.25-0.50" diameter hail were received from near Royal Center to near Denver, as well as in southern Carroll County & near Odell in Tippecanoe County.

The only stones that likely met severe threshold were the 1" stones seen on radar northwest of Lucerne in Cass County, but I have not recieved any report from that area.

Also, it appears that not only was the Denver area storm severe, but two other storms looked severe on radar with gust to 60 mph.  One was in northwestern Cass & the other in northeastern Cass County.

Any reports from that area of trees, limbs or powerlines down are appreciated & any report of hail from that storm northwest of Lucerne are appreciated, as well.

Winds were sustained at 41 mph with gust to 48 mph at the Galveston Airport as storms passed southern Cass County.  A gust of 41 mph was measured at Grissom ARB & Green Farms at Twelve Mile measured 40 mph gust.

High & mid cloud shield will pull away, followed by lots of sunshine with some fair-weather cumulus this afternoon to evening.  Cloud shield will pull away from northwest to southeast.

The humidity will be much better today with a north wind & highs in the upper 70s to as high as 83.

Surge of heat comes back in to end the week & move through the weekend.

It will also turn humid.

Highs will eventually reach 90-94.  Heat indices may peak at 93-101.

A few storms are possible Monday-Tuesday (upper low from the Gulf of Mexico skimming by, followed by a line of showers & storms Wednesday (strong surface cold front).

Wednesday may feature MARGINAL RISK for severe.

Rainfall coverage Monday-Tuesday will run 30%, while it will go up to 40% Wednesday.

It cools off nicely after that.  A couple mornings of lows in the 40s area-wide are expected late next week.

We will go from 90s to lows in the 40s over a few days!

Big heat-up where we skyrocket right back to 91 is possible before September is finished.  We should begin October with another cool-down of morning lows in the 40s.

Another surge of unseasonable warmth is expected in early October with a stint at mid 80s.

However, it appears that the first freeze for a chunk of the area (with lows 28-34) should occur around October 18-20.

Some parts of the area will not make it quite to or below freezing.  Those areas won't see their first official freeze likely until the end of October.

At this point, rainfall still looks below normal now to the end of October overall.

Temperatures should average above normal overall now to the end of October.

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