September 14, 1:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

SLIGHT RISK for severe weather this evening...hot weekend ahead, but real taste of Fall mornings ahead late next week.

Posted: Sep 14, 2021 12:51 PM
Updated: Sep 14, 2021 1:39 PM

It was an unusually warm morning with lows over much of the area at 70-74.  The typical cool spot, Cass County Airport, dropped to 66.

As of 1:30 p.m., temperatures are 86-90 with dew points 66-70.  Heat indices are running 89-96.

Winds are southwest at 15-28 mph.

There is a SLIGHT RISK or Level 2 of 5 risk of severe weather this evening for the entire viewing area.

Broken line of storms should pass 6-11 p.m. this evening with risk of a couple to few severe storms with wind & hail threat.

Rainfall will be variable given broken line & fact that storms will be moving quickly.  Some of you may get a quick 0.60-0.75", others only trace or 0.05".

We look dry, cooler & less humid with increasing sunshine Wednesday (northwest to north to northeast winds 10-20 mph).  Highs of 78-84 are likely.

After lows of 55-64 Wednesday night, Thursday looks w

armer as wind goes back to the south with highs 83-88.

Thursday will be a bit more humid.  After dew points in the 50s Wednesday, they should climb back to the 60s Thursday afternoon-evening.

Significant flooding is likely from Louisiana to Alabama this week as the remnants of Nicholas slow down & meander over the Deep South.

Interestingly, even as Nicholas finally reaches Georgia by Friday, another round of flooding rainfall is possible Friday-Tuesday (late this week to early next week) in Louisiana to Alabama (& even Tennessee). 

This will occur as an upper low in northeastern Mexico moves over the far western Gulf, then moves northward.

This upper low could actually bring us a few storms Monday-Tuesday before the main cold front with line of scattered storms passes Wednesday of next week (September 22).

I included now 30% storm coverage for Monday & Tuesday, then bumped it up to 40% Wednesday as strong cold front passes.

Parameters Wednesday suggest MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK (Level 1-2 out of 5).

Lows late next week will drop down in to the 40s area-wide for the first time since late May!

We will warm back up again quickly before we cool off just as rapidly with a few more nights in the 40s again.

High/Morning Low...Date, Day, Conditions

94/75...Sept. 20, Mon. Few Showers/Storms (30%), SW Wind 20-35 mph...Records: 95-1940

90/75...Sept. 21, Tue. Few Showers/Storms (30%), SW Wind 20-35 mph...Records: 95-1940

84F/72...Sept. 22, Wed. Sct'd Showers/Storms (40%), MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK Parameters for Severe, Partly Cloudy, SW to NW Wind 15-25 mph.

72/43...Sept. 23, Thu. Partly Cloudy, N Wind 10-15 mph.

75/45...Sept. 24, Fri. Mostly Sunny, E to SSE to S Wind 10-15 mph.

82/60...Sept. 25, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 15-30 mph...Records: 94-1891

88/66...Sept. 26, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-35 mph....Records: 96-1891

72/57...Sept. 27, Mon. Partly Cloudy, NE Wind 5-10 mph.

71/45...Sept. 28, Tue. Sunny, E Wind 2-5 mph.

77/46...Sept. 29, Wed. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10-15 mph.

83/54...Sept 30, Thu. Mostly Sunny, SW Wind 10-20 mph.

84/61...Oct. 1, Fri. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 10-20 mph...Records: 92-1897

86/65...Oct. 2, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW 15-25 mph...Records: 92-1983

82/66...Oct. 3, Sun. Mostly Cloudy, Some Sct'd Showers/Storms Possible, SSW 10-20 mph.

74/57...Oct. 4, Mon. Becoming Partly Cloudy, W Wind 10-15 mph.

73/52...Oct. 5, Tue. Partly Cloudy, WNW 10 mph.

72/45...Oct. 6, Wed. Mostly Sunny, W 10 mph.

71/45...Oct. 7, Thu. Mostly Sunny, NW Wind 5-10 mph.

72/42...Oct. 8, Fri. Mostly Sunny, E Wind 5 mph

77/45...Oct. 9, Sat. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 10 mph

83/52...Oct. 10, Sun. Mostly Sunny, S Wind 15-30 mph...Records: 88-1938

85/63...Oct. 11, Mon. Partly Cloudy, SW Wind 20-40 mph......Records: 86-2010

83/64...Oct. 12, Tue. Mostly Cloudy, Sct'd Showers/Storms, SW Wind 20-30 mph...Records: 87-1930

64/53...Oct. 13, Wed. Mostly Cloudy with a Few Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Northwest Winds 15-25 mph.

62/37...Oct. 14, Thu. Mostly Sunny, N Wind 5-10 mph.

68/35...Oct. 15, Fri. Mostly Sunny, SE Wind 5 mph.

76/50...Oct. 16, Sat. Partly Cloudy, SW 15-25 mph.

80/61...Oct. 17, Sun. Partly Cloudy, Few Showers & Storms Late, SW 20-35 mph.

58/40...Oct. 18, Mon. Partly Cloudy, NW 20-35 mph.

58/31...Oct. 19, Tue. Sunny, NW 5-10 mph.

61/32...Oct. 20, Wed. Sunny, NE 5-10 mph.

West Lafayette
Partly Cloudy
78° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 80°
Kokomo
Cloudy
74° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 74°
Rensselaer
Partly Cloudy
75° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 75°
Fowler
Partly Cloudy
78° wxIcon
Hi: 77° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 80°
Williamsport
Partly Cloudy
80° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 84°
Crawfordsville
Mostly Cloudy
75° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 75°
Frankfort
Mostly Cloudy
75° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 75°
Delphi
Partly Cloudy
76° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 70°
Feels Like: 78°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
76° wxIcon
Hi: 83° Lo: 71°
Feels Like: 78°
Logansport
Mostly Cloudy
75° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 75°
Some more needed rainfall with real taste of Fall weather...
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