September 13, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update as Warm-Up Continues & Two Rounds of Rainfall Are Eyed Down the Road

A summer-like end to the week & weekend are expected with temperatures & humidity peaking Sunday. Two rounds of widespread rainfall are possible at the end of next week, then a few days after that.

Posted: Sep 13, 2018 8:57 PM
Updated: Sep 13, 2018 9:56 PM

The warm-up continues! 

Highs yesterday were 75-82.

Highs Today were 81-85.

Friday will be warmer & rather humid late. 

Saturday will be warmer & humid. 

Each day will feature some clouds, but lots of sunshine & an east to northeast wind.  The wind will run calm, then 4-8 mph Friday & calm, then 8-13 mph Saturday.

Right up to early, early Sunday morning, Florence weakens, but sits over South Carolina.

Catastrophic flooding is expected.  By early, early Sunday morning, up to 42" of rain is possible over coastal southeastern North Carolina with up to 20" possible even to the I-95 corridor.  Even as a pre-Florence bands of showers/storms are lifted over the Appalachians, orographic enhancement will result in local +7" rainfall amounts in western North Carolina by early, early Sunday alone.

Wind damage will be great & storm surge will be major, but it is the rainfall that will make this disaster price tag in the billions & billions of dollars.

As for us, our weekend will be dry.  The model is way to aggressive with any rainfall here.  Skies will just be cumulus filled.  A viel of thin cirrus may skim by our cumulus-filled skies early next week courtesy of the Florence remnants.

The large-scale northeast flow around the system with a northwest flow behind a weak, weak cold front in our area Monday-Tuesday will set up a bit of a convergence zone along that front over our area.  Some isolated showers & t'showers are possible. 

Remnants of what may become Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm Kirk should ride a strong cold front up into our area next Friday-Saturday.

This could be the first of two +1" rains over the area within 7 days.

Another widespread rain could occur as the remnants of Pacific Hurricane Rosa or Sergio ridge up into the southern Plains & our region down the road.

Both should feature chilly rains as sharply colder air comes in.  Gusts of up to 30 mph are possible with both.

It is quite a chill late month with lows 30s & 40s for several nights!

Not to worry, burst of above normal temperatures will return in early October!

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