September 12, 1:45 PM Weather Forecast Update

From some storms to continued summer heat & humidity to big cool-down.

Posted: Sep 12, 2019 1:18 PM
Updated: Sep 12, 2019 2:41 PM

Some scattered storms are possible along outflow boundary this afternoon-evening in area.

A couple/few isolated severe storms are possible.

SPC has MARGINAL RISK for severe weather up for the viewing area.

Line of severe storms in Illinois will weaken as it moves eastward, coming through as just some scattered showers/few storms late Thursday night-Friday morning.

Some new storms should fire on actual cold front midday to early afternoon & move eastward.

It appears these will form east of a Rochester to Frankfort to Greencastle line.

East of that line, risk of an isolated severe storm or two is there.

SPC has this MARGINAL RISK up.

Wind will go from south-southwest to west-southwest & a dew point drop from 70-75 to 57-65 following passage of the front.

It will feel better outside for high school football Friday evening as temperatures fall into the 70s by 7:30 p.m. with west breeze & the lowering dew points (after highs of 83-88 with heat indices peaking at 87-96)

Tropical system should affect Florida to the Gulf Coast this weekend to early next week.

It will continue to move through the Southeast & Appalachians through next week.  It does not look to affect our area presently, but we will monitor.

Flooding will become a concern in the Southeast & Appalachian despite recent dryness & intense heat (concern due to slow, slow movement of the system & the orographic lifting of the rainfall over the mountain ridges, resulting in enhanced rainfall rates).

For us, Saturday looks less humid with mostly sunny skies & highs of 82-86 with a light wind.  The sun will feel hot, despite the low humidity & it will still be quite warm with 80s (after 55-58 in the morning).

A couple isolated storms are possible Sunday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday & Friday of next week with only 20% coverage.

Otherwise, it looks hot & humid with highs 87-93 with heat indices 93-101 Sunday-Friday with lows of 67-72.

Looks like potential line of storms along strong cold front Friday night of next week (though timing of the front/trough in any storms is a bit in question, so this pinpoint will be in flux as new data arrives in the coming days).

This front & the upper trough may finally push the Southeast/Appalachian tropical remnants northeastward to New England.

Meanwhile, a hurricane will likely be out in the western Atlantic.  It is unclear how close it will be to the U.S., but this upper trough & cold front will tend to push it away.

For us, some at least isolated severe weather could occur Friday evening-night, it appears.

It still looks like a succession of some cold front & upper troughs late month will re-enforce cooler air coming in.

Chilly pattern should dominate.

For example, these are the projected temperature anomalies for the afternoon of September 24.

Note the unusually cool weather in the central & southern U.S. & the unusual heat in the West with fire danger.

Fire danger may really go up late September to early October in southern California with Santa Ana episodes of strong offshore easterly to northeasterly winds & intense heat with low dew points.

Fires may also see a resurgence from British Columbia to the Intermountain West.

We should warm up above normal here in a surge of above normal temperatures for a time as we approach or get to mid-October.

Unless there are tropical remnants that affect our area, trend is for below normal rainfall in early October, normal rainfall mid-October.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 32078

Reported Deaths: 2004
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9268539
Lake3320168
Cass15826
Allen130966
St. Joseph120534
Hendricks113067
Hamilton111592
Johnson1086104
Elkhart105728
Madison58258
Porter49021
Bartholomew48133
Clark46138
LaPorte41522
Tippecanoe3753
Jackson3671
Howard36519
Delaware35735
Hancock32127
Shelby31521
Floyd31438
Boone28835
Morgan26224
Vanderburgh2482
Montgomery23117
White2268
Decatur22431
Clinton2221
Grant19121
Noble18921
Harrison18721
Dubois1852
Greene16724
Warrick16426
Dearborn16421
Henry1619
Monroe16011
Vigo1477
Lawrence14423
Miami1391
Putnam1337
Jennings1274
Orange12422
Scott1183
Ripley1126
Franklin1068
Kosciusko941
Carroll922
Daviess8216
Steuben802
Marshall761
Newton7410
Wabash722
Wayne715
Fayette684
LaGrange602
Jasper581
Washington521
Fulton471
Rush452
Jay440
Randolph433
Jefferson411
Whitley402
Pulaski390
Clay391
Owen341
Brown331
Sullivan321
Starke313
DeKalb311
Perry260
Huntington262
Knox250
Tipton251
Benton250
Wells240
Crawford230
Blackford211
Switzerland190
Fountain182
Spencer171
Posey170
Parke170
Gibson142
Ohio130
Warren121
Adams121
Vermillion90
Martin90
Union80
Pike60
Unassigned0154
West Lafayette
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 74°
Kokomo
Scattered Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 72°
Rensselaer
Broken Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 72°
Fowler
Broken Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 72°
Williamsport
Scattered Clouds
71° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 71°
Crawfordsville
Clear
67° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 67°
Frankfort
Clear
67° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 67°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
71° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 71°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
71° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 71°
Logansport
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 72°
Some more storms ahead....
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