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September 5, 2:45 PM Weather Forecast Update

Few showers/t'showers ahead with best coverage Sunday, then burst of summer.

Posted: Sep 5, 2019 1:01 PM
Updated: Sep 5, 2019 3:14 PM

It was a chilly morning with some patches of fog with some areas of clouds.  It was overall the coolest morning for the area since mid-June.

Lows this morning:

46 Winamac

47 Monticello-White County Airport

48 Fowler

48 Kokomo Municipal Airport

49 Morocco

49 Crawfordsville Municipal Airport

49 Flora Municipal Airport

50 Delphi

50 Rensselaer-Jasper County Airport

51 Attica

51 Purdue University Airport

51 Grissom Air Reserve Base

51 Covington

52 Crawfordsville

52 Kentland Municipal Airport

52 Logansport-Cass County Airport

52 Rochester-Fulton County Airport

53 Peru Municipal Airport

55 Frankfort Municipal Airport

Highs today will run 71-78 with lots of sunshine & some cumulus clouds giving way to completely sunny skies later today.


Dorian was a Category 3 overnight & is now just 1 mph from a Category 3, making it a very high-end Category 2 with maximum sustained winds of 110 mph & gusts to 132 mph.

Peak gusts measured so far:

92 mph Hilton Head Bouy 41033

81 mph Bouy 41029 off coast of Charleston, SC

69 mph Georgetown, SC USGS

61 mph Myrtle Beach Airport

59 mph Downtown Charleston, SC CWOP

43 mph Lexington County Airport (south-southwest of Columbia)

42 mph Downtown Columbia, SC CWOP

Another one of our disturbance & surface cold front will give it an extra boot to the northeast, but no before making an officiall landfall potentially on the Outer Banks of North Carolina (as Category 2 or 3 hurricane).

It will then RACE to the northeast with rains reaching eastern Massachusetts by late Friday night-early Saturday morning.  Tropical Storm Watches are up for southeast Massachusetts with Tropical Storm Warnings up to southern Maryland.

A few spotty showers/t'showers (30%) are possible Friday morning, followed by some dry time with sun, then we may bubble up a couple isolated showers in the afternoon-evening (20%).

Highs will run in the 70s after upper 40s to 50s very early in the morning, followed by a quick rise in temperatures in the west near sunrise as clouds roll in.

With lots of clouds & some sun Saturday, an isolated shower or two is possible with highs in the 70s after 50s in the morning.

Best coverage of rainfall for Sunday (40%) is currently morning to midday, then it drops a bit to 30% with showers/t'showers.  We will monitor.

After a cloudy morning, a bit of sun may appear at times in the afternoon with lots of clouds.

Highs look to run in the upper 60s to the 70s.

A few showers/storms are possible Monday with highs ot 76-84 with sun/clouds.

Tuesday looks windy & summer-like with sunshine, a few clouds, south-southwest winds 15-30 mph & highs 85-90 with heat indices 89-94.  Lows of only 67-71 are likely Tuesday night.

Wednesday will feature some scattered storms (40%) with highs 83-89 with heat indices 86-94.

Other showers/storms are possible at times Thursday to early Friday morning with 30% coverage Thursday & 50% coverage Thursday night.

There is the risk of an isolated severe storm Wednesday & Thursday night, but the main corridor of any better severe risk should run Missouri to northwest Illinois to Minnesota & western Wisconsin.

After 85-90 Thursday, highs Friday look to run in the 70s to around 80.

We should then warm back to the 80s with high humidity & the risk of showers/storms Monday, September 16.

Overall the mid-month is trending warmer & wetter than normal.

There is a trend for below normal temperatures at the end of September to early October from Minnesota to Texas to Mississippi to Indiana.

There is still a trend for brief lows in the 30s in the area either very late September or early October at some point.

Overall rainfall for the period is a bit below normal here.  It looks wetter at first, then the rain shuts off for a bit in this late September to early October period.

This wetter period at first may be the result of a hurricane or tropical storm making landfall along the western or central Gulf Coast & moving northward up into our area.

Article Comments

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