Overall Weather Trends to August 4

A Look to Late Summer

Posted: Jun 21, 2018 1:25 AM
Updated: Jun 21, 2018 1:33 AM

This was made by analyzing similar late June-early August periods back to 1895 & taking into account current trends combined with short- & long-range model ensemble data.

The normals are a combination of multiple NWS COOP site averages in the area.

This is an average of conditions for these time periods, but variability will exist, specifically on rainfall.  It does give you an overall summary of the regime, however.  There will be more outlooks and posts on the overall pattern & the drivers behind it ahead.

June 21-August 4 For Our Viewing Area:

June 21-26
Normal High/Low:  85/64
Normal Rainfall:  0.84"
Temperatures Near Normal
Rainfall Above to Well-Above Normal

June 27-July 5
Normal High/Low:  85/64
Normal Rainfall:  1.15"
Temperature Above Normal
Multiple 90s Days with Heat Indices +100 with Potential Heat Wave (4 or More Days 90 or Greater).
Rainfall Should Average Near Normal

July 6-13
Normal High/Low:  86/65
Normal Rainfall:  1.14"
Temperature Should Continue to Average Above Normal, Though Not As Much As June 27-July 5
Rainfall Should Average Below Normal

July 14-22
Normal High/Low:  86/65
Normal Rainfall:  1.14"
Stretch of Below Normal Temperature with Highest Potential of Greatest Amount Below Normal (Highs Low to Mid 70s) Near July 17.
Rainfall Should Average Near Normal at First, Then Trend Quickly Below Normal

July 23-30
Normal High/Low:  86/65
Normal Rainfall:  1.00"
Temperatures Above Normal........Persistent Heat Should Return with 90s Again
Rainfall Looks Near Normal

July 31-August 3
Normal High/Low:  85/65
Normal Rainfall:  0.48"
The Heat Should Subside with Near Normal Temperatures
Rainfall Looks Near Normal

Overall Complete Average of June 21-August 3
Bit Above Normal Temperatures (+1 to 1.5 Degrees)
Bit Above Normal Rainfall (115-130% of Normal)

West Lafayette
Clear
76° wxIcon
Hi: 92° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 76°
Kokomo
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 73°
Rensselaer
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 72°
Fowler
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 72°
Williamsport
Clear
75° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 75°
Crawfordsville
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 74°
Frankfort
Scattered Clouds
77° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 78°
Delphi
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 74°
Monticello
Clear
74° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 65°
Feels Like: 74°
Logansport
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 64°
Feels Like: 73°
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