October 6, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest outlook based on new data!

Posted: Oct 6, 2019 5:21 PM
Updated: Oct 6, 2019 9:15 PM

After some scattered showers Sunday night-Monday morning, largely in the southern & southeastern part of the viewing area, Monday-Wednesday's weather looks good!

With cold mornings, the afternoons look bright & comfortable with nice warm sunshine!

After 43-52 (warmest south & southeast) for lows tonight, highs tomorrow will run 65-70, followed by 36-41 tomorrow night, 65-70 on Tuesday & 37-46 Tuesday night.

The scattered showers Sunday night-early Monday (rainfall amounts trace to 0.15" in that rain zone):

Very strong fall storm will occur this week in the Rockies & Plains.  Early-season winter storm to even blizzard is likely Colorado to Minnesota with heavy snow & howling winds. 

Denver will go from near 80 Tuesday to lows in the teens Thursday!

Here, looks like a few spotty showers/storms Thursday, then a band of rain & some storms Friday, followed by MUCH cooler weather with strong winds.

Winds may gust to 40 mph behind front Friday night.

Freezing is likely next weekend with highs only in in the 50s.  This, after 72-76 Wednesday & 75-80 Thursday!

0.50-1" of rainfall is possible here Friday.

In terms of severe weather, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri to Arkansas to Louisiana will likely see the scattered severe weather (SLIGHT RISK) from this system.

Isolated severe gusts are possible as a narrow line embeddes itself in the band (or is at the front of the band) of rainfall along the cold front.

Some of these isolated severe gusts could make it into our area.  There will not be much CAPE (buoyancy) (owing to cold pocket by-passing our area to the northwest & west & lack of sunshine), but the forcing of the geopotential height & significant temperature & pressure drop may help to mix down some high gusts from the lower levels down to the surface. 

Check out the cold front at noon Friday!  Note the temperature anomalies at that time (departures from normal for midday on October 11):

After widespread frost & freezing next weekend to early next week, it will likely turn warm............QUICKLY.

Weekend to early week temperature anomalies:

Mid- to late week anomalies:

Eastern Kansas, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois to Arkansas may get in on the scattered severe risk (SLIGHT) as we near around October 18 & we warm in a big way.

We may see isolated severe risk here with potential of upgrade to a scattered or SLIGHT RISK set-up.  We will monitor.

0.50-1" rainfall is possible.

Cold with freezing looks to follow around October 20-23

Looks like it will warm up nicely late, late October to early November.

Active pattern with multiple systems of showers/storms should pass over a 2- to 2.5-week period.

Severe weather risk may develop, specifically around November 5-6 & in the November 10-15 period.

Rainfall looks above normal, as do temperatures.

Below  to much below normal temperatures should occur in latter November with below normal precipitation.  Some very minor snows still looks possible.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Scattered Clouds
67° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 67°
Kokomo
Broken Clouds
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Hi: 70° Lo: 50°
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Rensselaer
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Fowler
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Williamsport
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Hi: 68° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 65°
Crawfordsville
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66° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 66°
Frankfort
Clear
68° wxIcon
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Delphi
Clear
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Hi: 70° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 66°
Monticello
Clear
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Hi: 69° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 66°
Logansport
Clear
68° wxIcon
Hi: 68° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 68°
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