The first 10 days of October were very wet & unusually warm, muggy around the viewing area. That is when most of the rain for the month of October fell. Since that time, it has been quite dry & cold.
Now, we are going back to the wet pattern.............but also warmer pattern. We will add on additional rainfall before October is finished in a year that is around 6" above normal rainfall-wise.
Today was a great start to the week with highs in the 50s to 60. Although it was rather breezy, the sun felt & looked warm!
We should initially tank to 37-45, but then slowly rise to 42-48 by early morning as clouds overspread area with a warm front.
A few t'showers (30%) are possible tomorrow morning, followed by breezy, warm conditions with partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs 64-68. South-southwest winds will run 15-25 mph.
A band of rain & a few storms will pass tomorrow evening-night & last as late as midday Wednesday. Rainfall totals will tend to run 0.60-1.25" with a few isolated higher amounts possible.
Note how we dry out Wednesday afternoon-evening for Trick-or-Treating. However, rainfall will begin to re-develop after 11 p.m.
On Wednesday, the low clouds may scour away & the thick high/mid level overcast may thin some for some sun late Wednesday.
Temperatures will run 55-60 right up to about 5 a.m. Wednesday, then fall to 52 with passage of the cold front, before gradually rising to near 56 late in the day. Winds will be north-northeasterly at 7-12 mph.
The bulk of the rainfall Wednesday night-Thursday midday should be over the southeastern half of the viewing area (Lafayette & southeastward) with heavy rainfall with areas of flash flooding staying south of the viewing area.
Total rainfall Tuesday-Thursday will run 0.80"-2", it appears. Up to 6" may fall in parts of southern Indiana & Kentucky.
Friday still just looks mostly cloudy, but warm front will move through Saturday with clouds, then strong southerly winds late.
A couple storm systems may pass with rain & storms Sunday-Tuesday. With windy conditions, highs in the 60s are possible.
It still looks active with above normal rainfall & several gusty, strong autumn storm systems right up to mid November.
Temperatures look to average above normal.
You can see the general pattern here.........We are active, stormy, but pretty warm right up to mid November. Then, watch the bottom fall out on the temperatures. The greens & yellows are replaced by purples! MUCH colder weather will dive in after mid month!