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October 24, 5 PM Weather Forecast Update

Saturday trending wetter & wetter & mid to late next week looks much colder before we warm up in a big way in early November.

Posted: Oct 24, 2019 12:33 PM
Updated: Oct 24, 2019 5:35 PM

Cold is impressive for the time of year from Colorado to Oklahoma & Texas today!

It is snowing in the Texas Panhandle to western Oklahoma.

Amarillo, Texas as of 4:16 p.m. Eastern Time.

Worst of this cold will dive more south than spread eastward as storm combines with another in the Gulf of Mexico & then races northward.  Lots of warm with storms will be in the east & southeast with the colder air behind.

That much colder air in the Rockies & Northern Plains will get here by Tuesday (more on that below).

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With mostly cloudy to cloudy skies tonight & a wind turning to the northeast (6-12 mph), lows should drop 38-44 northwest to southeast.  A few isolated showers & sprinkles are possible.

With mostly cloudy to cloudy skies initially tomorrow with a couple isolated showers & sprink;es in the morning, clearing trend should take place slowly north to south through the day with highs 48-54 with northeast breeze 7-12 mph.

With clear skies north & some clouds in the south, lows tomorrow night will vary from 32-40 north to south.  Wind should be light out of the northeast at 4-8 mph.

Clouds will then increase south to north with time late in the night to early Saturday morning & temperatures may rise to 37-43 with this process (as northeast wind turns east-northeast & increases to 8-15 mph).

Modeled clouds on simulated IR satellite:

Everyone will go cloudy with time Saturday morning-midday.

Showers will move in south to north & increase to steady, wind-driven rain.

A few isolated embedded storms are possible as warm front tries to move north-northwestward as center of low pressure system passes over area.

If you have aches & pains brought on by low air pressure, Saturday to Saturday night may be uncomfortable.

Winds will be strong from the east-northeast & east to even east-southeast at 15-33 mph.

Highs should range from 48 northwest to 61 in far east/southeast with around 53 at Greater Lafayette.

It is looking more & more like much of the area will see 0.75-1" of rainfall with more than 1" possible in our eastern counties.

Increasing rainfall & even a few isolated embedded storms (as elevated instability is forced up & lifted over warm front):

Wind gusts:

Saturday highs:

Sunday looks dry & breezy with some clearing & highs 58-65 after 40s in the morning.

Clouds will increase Monday with a few showers possible & highs 55-61.

Impressive cold wave will send temperatures well-below normal for most areas east of the Rockies after Monday.

We are headed for some highs at 38-45 with lows 21-25 (with that kind of cold, the leaves will come cascading down & those that haven't changed will do so rapidly or even turn rather dry & brown).

Also, a few showers are possible at times as shortwave & a couple of re-enforcing cold front pass Tuesday-Thursday.

Some snow may mix in Wednesday night-Thursday AM.

Halloween looks cold with temperatures in the 30s for Trick-or-Treating.  Looks dry currently, but we will monitor.

The cold will be slow to get rid off with below normal temperatures trying to linger until strong, deep upper trough plows & digs into the West & changes the pattern.  It will take some time for the Gulf to "re-group" with CAPE & moisture.

As a couple of strong storm systems slam California with heavy rainfall & high surf, a complete flip of the pattern will occur in early November with temperatures surging well-above normal here.

The nights look particularly warm at near record-warm levels for several days (57-61).  highs may reach 68-74.

There is one California storm............note the strong, warm southwest winds here.  Another will be on its heels.

Storms will track into the Plains & re-organize.

With moisture & CAPE return, severe weather should begin to materialize in the Plains again from Kansas & Oklahoma to Texas.

We may see some severe risk make it as far north as our area near or after November 5-6 & again around November 13-15.

Much colder weather should follow with a feel of mid-winter with even some very minor snowfall.

Article Comments

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Widespread Snow For Wednesday
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