STREAMING NOW: Watch Now

October 21, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

More rainfall & some storms with isolated severe risk with overall above normal temperatures...

Posted: Oct 21, 2021 3:44 PM
Updated: Oct 21, 2021 11:31 PM

MJO is neutral now, but looks to suddenly deviate to Phase 1 & become solid influencer Sunday, October 24 to early November, based on new model data.

Sudden shift to solid Phase 1 for late October to early November tends to support:

1.  Wetter than normal weather here.

2.  Warmer than normal weather here.

3.  Very wet, atmospheric-river storms hitting central & northern California to Oregon with often flooding rainfall.

4.  Very wet weather with higher severe weather risk Illinois to the Lower Mississippi Valley & over the South.

MJO should then go back to neutral after November 6 & remain neutral until getting into low-end Phase 5 in late November.

This supports a bit cooler, drier weather overall if it out-does all other indices.

Highs today occurred this morning at 61-65 before dropping to lower to middle 50s by early afternoon with strong west to northwest wind.

Friday looks mostly cloudy to cloudy with highs 52-55 with west to west-northwest winds 10-15 mph.  Isolated to spotty showers, sprinkles & drizzle are expected tonight-tomorrow.

Clearing with frost is expected in the northwest with 32-36, while clouds & 38-42 are expected farther east & southeastward.

Winds look northwest, then northeast Saturday at 5-15 mph with highs 58-63 with partly cloudy skies.

We turn mostly cloudy to cloudy with 41-48 Saturday night as northeast winds turn more to the east.

Warm front will lift northward Sunday & may reached Highway 18 by early evening.

This means south of 18 is looking at period of rain & a few storms Sunday morning to early afternoon, then some lulling, while north of 18 may be rainy with a few storms all day.

The south looks much warmer with peaks of sun in the PM with 66-72, while the north will stay cool at generally 50-55.

North will have east to northeast winds all day, while the south will see a shift to southeast, then south winds.

A severe weather outbreak is expected Illinois to Arkansas & eastern Oklahoma Sunday-Sunday night.  We will see the leftovers arrive Sunday night with temperatures steady or rising in the 59-66 range. 

It does appear that the MARGINAL RISK (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather could make it into Warren, Tippecanoe, Fountain, Montgomery & Clinton counties.

SLIGHT RISK (Level 2 of 5) should reside in Illinois, while parameters suggest ENHANCED RISK (Level 3 of 5) Missouri, eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas to southwestern Illinois.

1-3" of total rainfall is possible across the viewing area Sunday-Monday.  Heaviest totals should be north of US 24.

This is *NOT* an official SPC forecast, but I want to show you what the current parameters suggest for severe weather Sunday evening-night.  Our risk for isolated severe storm or two would be 8 p.m. to 2 a.m., while severe weather outbreak with all severe weather hazards is expected southwest of here with ENHANCED RISK parameters showing up from the St. Louis area west & southwestward.

SPC will have the *OFFICIAL* updated Convective Outlook up after 1 a.m. for the early Sunday to early Monday period.

Projected rainfall shows widespread soaking rain, but it being especially heavy in our northern counties with amounts to 3" by Monday.

Rainfall should taper Monday with 60s (temperatures may fall some in the afternoon as front drops back southward, then any rainfall Tuesday would be isolated with a mostly cloudy sky.  Highs Tuesday should vary from 50s north to 70s potentially in the far south.

The warm front should move far enough to the north that most of the viewing area looks to be 75-80 Wednesday with humid dew points in the 60s & strong south-southwest winds 20-30 mph.

Looks like a round of showers & storms late Wednesday night-Thursday.  Right now, any severe weather risk looks to be Iowa to Missouri & Arkansas.  We will likely see our highs Thursday morning at 67-72, then temperatures fall.

West Lafayette
Partly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 21°
Feels Like: 30°
Kokomo
Clear
35° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: 26°
Rensselaer
Clear
32° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 21°
Feels Like: 26°
Fowler
Partly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: 30°
Williamsport
Partly Cloudy
38° wxIcon
Hi: 51° Lo: 23°
Feels Like: 29°
Crawfordsville
Partly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 51° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 29°
Frankfort
Clear
36° wxIcon
Hi: 51° Lo: 21°
Feels Like: 29°
Delphi
Clear
34° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 23°
Feels Like: 27°
Monticello
Clear
34° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 25°
Feels Like: 27°
Logansport
Clear
32° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: 26°
A few showers, then much warmer weather is ahead...
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 1097128

Reported Deaths: 17438
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1437882222
Lake712531225
Allen65537867
Hamilton50147482
St. Joseph48760639
Elkhart39461538
Vanderburgh34221495
Tippecanoe30237271
Johnson27179463
Hendricks25845379
Porter25014381
Madison20656444
Clark19898275
Vigo18764308
LaPorte16857260
Delaware16425291
Howard16408311
Monroe16379217
Kosciusko13936163
Hancock12841185
Bartholomew12686188
Warrick11995189
Wayne11879265
Floyd11869225
Grant11701235
Morgan10252188
Boone9675120
Noble9069121
Henry9002165
Marshall8907146
Dearborn881799
Dubois8710139
Shelby8054128
Cass8014127
Lawrence7922182
DeKalb7591106
Huntington7448108
Jackson743893
Gibson7002118
Montgomery6910123
Harrison685296
Knox6827113
Steuben654186
Miami6477107
Whitley642260
Putnam631982
Clinton618976
Wabash6060108
Jasper601791
Jefferson5689103
Ripley549192
Adams532381
Daviess5003116
Scott480378
Wells471799
White468767
Greene461799
Clay457462
Decatur4529109
Jennings439666
Fayette435694
LaGrange419290
Posey403244
Washington384154
Randolph3818107
Fountain368362
Spencer355846
Fulton355572
Starke348772
Owen346276
Sullivan344954
Orange324470
Jay318650
Rush298332
Carroll289438
Franklin286744
Perry283253
Vermillion280458
Tipton247365
Parke246330
Pike244144
Blackford218044
Pulaski205658
Newton179052
Brown171850
Crawford167929
Benton163217
Martin150819
Switzerland145112
Warren132216
Union117816
Ohio91413
Unassigned0585

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events