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October 18, 9:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Latest outlook is up......all based on latest numerical & analog guidance!

Posted: Oct 18, 2019 9:16 PM
Updated: Oct 18, 2019 9:45 PM

Patchy fog, frost & 28-33 this morning gave way to sunshine, high, some mid clouds & dimmed sun at times today with 59-64.

35-44 east to west tonight, with skies turning clear again, will lead to 66-71 Saturday as clouds increase.

Winds will turn to south-southwest & increase to 10-15 mph.

As weak cold front slips back southeastward Saturday night, skies should turn mostly cloudy & an isolated shower is possible.

Lows should drop to 45-50.

Deep moisture from Gulf of Mexico should get tied up in Tropical Storm to possibly brief Category 1 Hurricane Nestor, cutting rainfall for Saturday & Sunday here.

In termso of Sunday, front goes back north as a warm front with sunshine & a few clouds (but increasing clouds late), breezy conditions from the south-southwest & highs 71-76.  It looks dry.

Despite Gulf being gutted by Nestor, an impressive resurgence will get underway Sunday, courtesy of much disturbed tropical weather in the Pacific & in the Bay of Campeche.

This will help to feed storms that will blow up in Oklahoma, Texas & Arkasas to possibly far southwestern Missouri Sunday evening-night with severe weather risk.

Looks like a band of rain with an embedded broken line of storms in high shear, low CAPE environment Monday late morning to very early afternoon.

A couple isolated severe gusts are possible with the broken line as it migrates northeastward from Missouri to Indiana.

Main area of severe risk is obviously southwest & south of our area late Sunday-Monday, however note how MARGINAL RISK parameters will be in place here.

Behind front, highs should run in the 50s to 60 with lows in the 30s & 40s.

A few showers are possible with a secondary cold front late Thursday.

This front will usher in cold weather Friday & then into next weekend.

Lows in the 20s are likely.

Cold rain & even some Appalachian snowfall (as far south as higher elevations of north Georgia) may occur.

Much warmer, wetter weather will arrive around & after Halloween through early November.  Some severe risk is possible November 5-6 & 13-15.

Much colder & some snow is possible in latter November.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Overcast
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Hi: 45° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 43°
Kokomo
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Hi: 44° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 42°
Rensselaer
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Hi: 43° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 37°
Fowler
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Hi: 42° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 37°
Williamsport
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Hi: 44° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 34°
Crawfordsville
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Hi: 45° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 40°
Frankfort
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Delphi
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Hi: 46° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 42°
Monticello
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Hi: 46° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 42°
Logansport
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Hi: 44° Lo: 32°
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Increasing Rain Chances this Afternoon-Early Evening.
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