October 17, 5:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the outlook now to late November.

Posted: Oct 17, 2019 1:18 PM
Updated: Oct 17, 2019 5:53 PM

Lows this morning ran 32-41....coldest where the greatest amount of clearing occurred for the longest period of time, warmest where the clouds hung on the longest.

Highs today reache 54-59.

Patchy shallow dense fog is possible later tonight to early Friday morning, specifically in low-lying areas, river & creek bottoms & around rivers, lakes, ponds & creeks.  Frost will be widespread as well.

Lows will drop to 30-33.

With increasing high/mid clouds tomorrow dimming sun after a mostly sunny morning, highs Friday should run 60-65 northeast to southwest over the area (with a south-southeast wind developing at 8-13 mph).

Skies should clear Friday evening-night with lows 35-44 east to west.

After a mostly sunny to sunny start Saturday, clouds will be on the increase.  With breezy conditions (southeast to south-southwest 15-25 mph), highs will run 67-72.

A couple isolated showers/storms are possible late in the day to early Saturday night.

Tropical system will make landfall this weekend on the Gulf Coast.

This will take up much of the moisture that would have streamed northward to our area this weekend.

That is why any showers/storms Saturday PM-night should be isolated (20%).

Western Gulf will be re-invigorated with moisture to supply strong storm system Sunday-Tuesday as tropical remnants from the Pacific feed northeastward & deep moisture from tropical disturbances feed northward from the Bay of Campeche.

So, band of rain & embedded line of storms will line up from Texas to Great Lakes.

Band of rain with broken embedded line of storms will pass here Monday.

An isolated severe storm or two cannot be ruled out, main threat being wind.

Note the robust severe risk Okalhoma to Texas, but also some higher risk probabilities even reaching eastern Iowa & Illinois in the high shear environment.

Here, MARGINAL RISK of severe seems like at the moment.  If CAPE increases a bit more, SLIGHT RISK parameters would develop.

Storm Prediction Center SLIGHT RISK areas forecast right now for Sunday & Monday...................

Cooler weather will follow system.

Secondary cold front Thursday of next week will usher in even colder weather the end of next week & next weekend with killing 20s freeze. 

Looks drier than normal right up to Halloween (& colder than normal).

Above normal temperatures should dominate right after Halloween through early November.

Rainfall should go above normal for that period.

Cold upper trough in West, warm upper ridge in the Southeast & us in active storm track shows up well.

Two periods of some severe risk in our area (looks isolated severe at the moment):  November 5-6 & around November 13-15 period.

Much colder weather should follow in latter November with below normal temperatures.

Some flurries may even occur behind the front as the cold rushes in on strong northwest winds.

Some very minor snows are possible in latter November, but precipitation looks below normal with the cold weather.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 34211

Reported Deaths: 2125
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9761576
Lake3573186
Allen160069
Cass15877
St. Joseph126634
Elkhart126228
Hendricks116671
Hamilton115493
Johnson1097108
Madison58659
Porter53428
Bartholomew50834
Clark49741
LaPorte43023
Howard40428
Tippecanoe3933
Delaware38536
Jackson3821
Shelby37122
Hancock33127
Floyd31839
Boone31635
Morgan27824
Vanderburgh2662
Montgomery23817
White2338
Noble22821
Clinton2271
Decatur22431
Grant21022
Dubois1993
Harrison19422
Henry17211
Greene16924
Vigo1688
Dearborn16821
Monroe16712
Warrick16628
Lawrence15924
Miami1401
Putnam1367
Jennings1304
Kosciusko1271
Orange12622
Scott1193
Franklin1108
Ripley1086
Marshall1021
Carroll932
Daviess8516
Steuben832
Wayne785
Fayette777
Newton7710
Wabash772
LaGrange762
Jasper661
Washington521
Clay511
Jay500
Fulton491
Randolph473
Rush462
Pulaski460
Jefferson451
Whitley413
Starke393
DeKalb371
Sullivan351
Owen341
Brown331
Perry320
Wells310
Benton300
Knox280
Huntington272
Tipton251
Blackford252
Crawford240
Fountain212
Switzerland200
Spencer201
Parke170
Adams171
Posey160
Gibson152
Ohio130
Warren121
Martin110
Vermillion100
Union90
Pike60
Unassigned0167
West Lafayette
Clear
60° wxIcon
Hi: 73° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 60°
Kokomo
Clear
56° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 47°
Feels Like: 56°
Rensselaer
Clear
55° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 48°
Feels Like: 55°
Fowler
Clear
55° wxIcon
Hi: 71° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 55°
Williamsport
Clear
61° wxIcon
Hi: 73° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 61°
Crawfordsville
Clear
60° wxIcon
Hi: 72° Lo: 50°
Feels Like: 60°
Frankfort
Broken Clouds
61° wxIcon
Hi: 71° Lo: 49°
Feels Like: 61°
Delphi
Clear
57° wxIcon
Hi: 71° Lo: 48°
Feels Like: 57°
Monticello
Clear
57° wxIcon
Hi: 71° Lo: 47°
Feels Like: 57°
Logansport
Clear
57° wxIcon
Hi: 70° Lo: 46°
Feels Like: 57°
Cooler, less humid weather continues Sunday
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