October 16, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest forecast update.

Posted: Oct 16, 2020 3:39 PM
Updated: Oct 16, 2020 9:43 PM

Lows this morning ran 26-32.

Highs today have reached 55-62.

Fire risk is elevated with the winds gusting to 35 mph & relative humidity down to 18% with Moderate Drought over the area.

Altough it is very dry toward the surface, there is moisture & cold air aloft moving in with this shortwave (cold pocket & lower pressure in the mid-levels).  This is bubbling up high-based clouds like popcorn & some spotty virga is developing (showers drying up on the way down) in the area.

As this pivots through this evening, dry air will prevent much of the developing spotty showers & t'showers northwest of here from getting to the ground.  However, a couple might make it in the form of sprinkles or a brief shower. 

Interestingly, there may be enough elevated CAPE or instability to produce isolated lightning discharge & thunder rumble, even if no rain makes it to the ground.  This is more typical of High Plains & western U.S. weather than here.

After lows tonight of 33-38, high Saturday should reach 63-68.

Fire risk will reach critical levels in the afternoon with off & on dim or faded sun mixed with high & mid clouds.

South-southwest wind gusts of 35-50 mph are possible (sustained at 20-30) with relative humidity levels down to 15%.

A Wind Advisory is up for Benton, Jasper & Newton counties for these higher gusts.

A Fire Weather Warning may be issued (or Red Flag Warning) for the area.

Saturday night looks warm & windy with lows only in the 50s.  South-southwest may still gust to 40 mph during the night with relative humidity still down to 25%.

As for Sunday, it looks partly cloudy in the morning with possibly a couple isolated showers (they will be battling very dry air), followed by mostly cloudy skies with a few scattered showers & t'showers (30%), then partly cloudy skies with a couple isolated lingering showers in the evening.

Southwest winds to 40 mph will become west at 10-22 mph, then northwest with gusts to 36 mph in the late afternoon-evening.

Highs of 60-66 are likely, followed by temperatures falling to the 50s in the afternoon.

Rainfall looks to run 0.10" or less.

Some scattered showers are possible Monday as front moves back northward as a warm front, leading to a warm, windy mid- to late week.

A line of storms is possible Thursday night with some severe weather risk possible (parameters look like SLIGHT RISK for part of the area at the moment).  Shear & dynamics with tongue of more unstable air & deeper low-level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will reside over the colder air aloft skimming by the area.

Looks like severe weather risk may reside from Indiana to Oklahoma.

A few showers are possible Friday morning, followed by 58-64 with windy conditions from the west at 20-35 mph.

West Lafayette
Partly Cloudy
90° wxIcon
Hi: 95° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 104°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
88° wxIcon
Hi: 94° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 93°
Rensselaer
Partly Cloudy
73° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 73°
Fowler
Partly Cloudy
90° wxIcon
Hi: 93° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 104°
Williamsport
Partly Cloudy
83° wxIcon
Hi: 94° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 90°
Crawfordsville
Partly Cloudy
90° wxIcon
Hi: 94° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 92°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
90° wxIcon
Hi: 93° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 92°
Delphi
Partly Cloudy
80° wxIcon
Hi: 94° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 83°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
88° wxIcon
Hi: 95° Lo: 70°
Feels Like: 92°
Logansport
Mostly Cloudy
88° wxIcon
Hi: 92° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 91°
Record heat expected over the weekend.
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Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 748654

Reported Deaths: 13714
CountyCasesDeaths
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Johnson18377385
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Vigo12594253
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Delaware10941196
Howard10244225
Kosciusko9606119
Hancock8538144
Bartholomew8154157
Warrick7851156
Floyd7759179
Grant7224178
Wayne7153201
Boone6909103
Morgan6732141
Dubois6209118
Marshall6206116
Cass5989108
Henry5891108
Dearborn588778
Noble579486
Jackson508074
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Lawrence4724121
Gibson443793
Harrison440173
Clinton439255
DeKalb438485
Montgomery433390
Whitley405642
Huntington402181
Steuben398159
Miami391968
Jasper385953
Knox375590
Putnam371760
Wabash360482
Ripley346370
Adams344855
Jefferson335384
White328753
Daviess302499
Wells294881
Decatur289792
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Posey273535
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Scott269455
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Randolph244683
Washington244334
Jennings235049
Spencer233931
Starke227457
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Owen210758
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Jay200732
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Rush175526
Vermillion173144
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Pike137934
Blackford136032
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Newton112536
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Benton100814
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Ohio57811
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