October 16, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest forecast update.

Posted: Oct 16, 2020 3:39 PM
Updated: Oct 16, 2020 9:43 PM

Lows this morning ran 26-32.

Highs today have reached 55-62.

Fire risk is elevated with the winds gusting to 35 mph & relative humidity down to 18% with Moderate Drought over the area.

Altough it is very dry toward the surface, there is moisture & cold air aloft moving in with this shortwave (cold pocket & lower pressure in the mid-levels).  This is bubbling up high-based clouds like popcorn & some spotty virga is developing (showers drying up on the way down) in the area.

As this pivots through this evening, dry air will prevent much of the developing spotty showers & t'showers northwest of here from getting to the ground.  However, a couple might make it in the form of sprinkles or a brief shower. 

Interestingly, there may be enough elevated CAPE or instability to produce isolated lightning discharge & thunder rumble, even if no rain makes it to the ground.  This is more typical of High Plains & western U.S. weather than here.

After lows tonight of 33-38, high Saturday should reach 63-68.

Fire risk will reach critical levels in the afternoon with off & on dim or faded sun mixed with high & mid clouds.

South-southwest wind gusts of 35-50 mph are possible (sustained at 20-30) with relative humidity levels down to 15%.

A Wind Advisory is up for Benton, Jasper & Newton counties for these higher gusts.

A Fire Weather Warning may be issued (or Red Flag Warning) for the area.

Saturday night looks warm & windy with lows only in the 50s.  South-southwest may still gust to 40 mph during the night with relative humidity still down to 25%.

As for Sunday, it looks partly cloudy in the morning with possibly a couple isolated showers (they will be battling very dry air), followed by mostly cloudy skies with a few scattered showers & t'showers (30%), then partly cloudy skies with a couple isolated lingering showers in the evening.

Southwest winds to 40 mph will become west at 10-22 mph, then northwest with gusts to 36 mph in the late afternoon-evening.

Highs of 60-66 are likely, followed by temperatures falling to the 50s in the afternoon.

Rainfall looks to run 0.10" or less.

Some scattered showers are possible Monday as front moves back northward as a warm front, leading to a warm, windy mid- to late week.

A line of storms is possible Thursday night with some severe weather risk possible (parameters look like SLIGHT RISK for part of the area at the moment).  Shear & dynamics with tongue of more unstable air & deeper low-level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will reside over the colder air aloft skimming by the area.

Looks like severe weather risk may reside from Indiana to Oklahoma.

A few showers are possible Friday morning, followed by 58-64 with windy conditions from the west at 20-35 mph.

West Lafayette
Clear
39° wxIcon
Hi: 58° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 34°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 55° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 30°
Rensselaer
Clear
34° wxIcon
Hi: 54° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 27°
Fowler
Clear
39° wxIcon
Hi: 56° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 34°
Williamsport
Clear
36° wxIcon
Hi: 58° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 30°
Crawfordsville
Clear
37° wxIcon
Hi: 58° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 31°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
37° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 31°
Delphi
Partly Cloudy
38° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 32°
Monticello
Clear
37° wxIcon
Hi: 57° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 33°
Logansport
Clear
34° wxIcon
Hi: 53° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 30°
A sunny and mild day is expected! Changes arrive through the weekend
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 1112735

Reported Deaths: 17652
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1450832237
Lake721711247
Allen66684881
Hamilton50838487
St. Joseph49493645
Elkhart40079546
Vanderburgh34553496
Tippecanoe30654274
Johnson27559465
Hendricks26181383
Porter25556386
Madison21002452
Clark20146278
Vigo18966309
LaPorte17115261
Delaware16666300
Howard16666313
Monroe16556220
Kosciusko14216167
Hancock13061185
Bartholomew12894190
Warrick12152190
Wayne12036268
Floyd11968226
Grant11901242
Morgan10360192
Boone9815122
Noble9234122
Henry9142167
Marshall9062147
Dearborn8923100
Dubois8815139
Shelby8210129
Cass8134127
Lawrence8018185
DeKalb7761108
Jackson764093
Huntington7601113
Gibson7074118
Montgomery7052123
Harrison6923100
Knox6896115
Steuben665889
Miami6563111
Whitley655360
Putnam641584
Clinton624579
Wabash6182111
Jasper610892
Jefferson5796104
Ripley555893
Adams540581
Daviess5062117
Scott488280
Wells4814104
White475669
Greene4680100
Clay462862
Decatur4597110
Jennings448867
Fayette448396
LaGrange425990
Posey407544
Randolph3908107
Washington389856
Fountain373464
Fulton362474
Spencer360747
Starke353574
Owen351277
Sullivan347554
Orange329172
Jay328850
Rush306832
Carroll294239
Franklin290844
Perry288553
Vermillion282758
Tipton250066
Parke249630
Pike247244
Blackford221244
Pulaski208559
Newton181752
Brown176150
Crawford168829
Benton166517
Martin151820
Switzerland147212
Warren135316
Union121016
Ohio92113
Unassigned0592

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