Lows this morning ran 26-32.
Highs today have reached 55-62.
Fire risk is elevated with the winds gusting to 35 mph & relative humidity down to 18% with Moderate Drought over the area.
Altough it is very dry toward the surface, there is moisture & cold air aloft moving in with this shortwave (cold pocket & lower pressure in the mid-levels). This is bubbling up high-based clouds like popcorn & some spotty virga is developing (showers drying up on the way down) in the area.
As this pivots through this evening, dry air will prevent much of the developing spotty showers & t'showers northwest of here from getting to the ground. However, a couple might make it in the form of sprinkles or a brief shower.
Interestingly, there may be enough elevated CAPE or instability to produce isolated lightning discharge & thunder rumble, even if no rain makes it to the ground. This is more typical of High Plains & western U.S. weather than here.
After lows tonight of 33-38, high Saturday should reach 63-68.
Fire risk will reach critical levels in the afternoon with off & on dim or faded sun mixed with high & mid clouds.
South-southwest wind gusts of 35-50 mph are possible (sustained at 20-30) with relative humidity levels down to 15%.
A Wind Advisory is up for Benton, Jasper & Newton counties for these higher gusts.
A Fire Weather Warning may be issued (or Red Flag Warning) for the area.
Saturday night looks warm & windy with lows only in the 50s. South-southwest may still gust to 40 mph during the night with relative humidity still down to 25%.
As for Sunday, it looks partly cloudy in the morning with possibly a couple isolated showers (they will be battling very dry air), followed by mostly cloudy skies with a few scattered showers & t'showers (30%), then partly cloudy skies with a couple isolated lingering showers in the evening.
Southwest winds to 40 mph will become west at 10-22 mph, then northwest with gusts to 36 mph in the late afternoon-evening.
Highs of 60-66 are likely, followed by temperatures falling to the 50s in the afternoon.
Rainfall looks to run 0.10" or less.
Some scattered showers are possible Monday as front moves back northward as a warm front, leading to a warm, windy mid- to late week.
A line of storms is possible Thursday night with some severe weather risk possible (parameters look like SLIGHT RISK for part of the area at the moment). Shear & dynamics with tongue of more unstable air & deeper low-level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will reside over the colder air aloft skimming by the area.
Looks like severe weather risk may reside from Indiana to Oklahoma.
A few showers are possible Friday morning, followed by 58-64 with windy conditions from the west at 20-35 mph.