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October 16, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest forecast update.

Posted: Oct 16, 2020 3:39 PM
Updated: Oct 16, 2020 9:43 PM

Lows this morning ran 26-32.

Highs today have reached 55-62.

Fire risk is elevated with the winds gusting to 35 mph & relative humidity down to 18% with Moderate Drought over the area.

Altough it is very dry toward the surface, there is moisture & cold air aloft moving in with this shortwave (cold pocket & lower pressure in the mid-levels).  This is bubbling up high-based clouds like popcorn & some spotty virga is developing (showers drying up on the way down) in the area.

As this pivots through this evening, dry air will prevent much of the developing spotty showers & t'showers northwest of here from getting to the ground.  However, a couple might make it in the form of sprinkles or a brief shower. 

Interestingly, there may be enough elevated CAPE or instability to produce isolated lightning discharge & thunder rumble, even if no rain makes it to the ground.  This is more typical of High Plains & western U.S. weather than here.

After lows tonight of 33-38, high Saturday should reach 63-68.

Fire risk will reach critical levels in the afternoon with off & on dim or faded sun mixed with high & mid clouds.

South-southwest wind gusts of 35-50 mph are possible (sustained at 20-30) with relative humidity levels down to 15%.

A Wind Advisory is up for Benton, Jasper & Newton counties for these higher gusts.

A Fire Weather Warning may be issued (or Red Flag Warning) for the area.

Saturday night looks warm & windy with lows only in the 50s.  South-southwest may still gust to 40 mph during the night with relative humidity still down to 25%.

As for Sunday, it looks partly cloudy in the morning with possibly a couple isolated showers (they will be battling very dry air), followed by mostly cloudy skies with a few scattered showers & t'showers (30%), then partly cloudy skies with a couple isolated lingering showers in the evening.

Southwest winds to 40 mph will become west at 10-22 mph, then northwest with gusts to 36 mph in the late afternoon-evening.

Highs of 60-66 are likely, followed by temperatures falling to the 50s in the afternoon.

Rainfall looks to run 0.10" or less.

Some scattered showers are possible Monday as front moves back northward as a warm front, leading to a warm, windy mid- to late week.

A line of storms is possible Thursday night with some severe weather risk possible (parameters look like SLIGHT RISK for part of the area at the moment).  Shear & dynamics with tongue of more unstable air & deeper low-level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will reside over the colder air aloft skimming by the area.

Looks like severe weather risk may reside from Indiana to Oklahoma.

A few showers are possible Friday morning, followed by 58-64 with windy conditions from the west at 20-35 mph.

West Lafayette
Overcast
44° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 38°
Kokomo
Overcast
47° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 43°
Rensselaer
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37° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 32°
Fowler
Overcast
37° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 32°
Williamsport
Overcast
39° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 32°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
40° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 40°
Frankfort
Overcast
47° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 41°
Delphi
Overcast
44° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 38°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
43° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 37°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
43° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 37°
More rainfall ahead.
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 162607

Reported Deaths: 4130
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion25871792
Lake14222358
St. Joseph9532166
Elkhart9156137
Allen8552230
Hamilton6335114
Vanderburgh609062
Tippecanoe391815
Porter341650
Hendricks3367134
Monroe333238
Johnson3239130
Delaware307675
Clark303163
Vigo272440
Madison248096
LaPorte236161
Cass228523
Warrick201565
Kosciusko198427
Floyd185868
Howard168466
Bartholomew146958
Dubois145526
Marshall145126
Wayne137931
Henry131330
Grant131039
Boone128050
Hancock123144
Noble121935
Jackson118517
Dearborn101728
Morgan98940
Lawrence94737
Gibson92812
Daviess91334
Clinton90316
Shelby89431
LaGrange82815
Knox81310
Harrison79924
Posey7667
Putnam76616
DeKalb75811
Fayette73918
Jasper6655
Miami6615
Steuben6578
Montgomery62022
White61016
Greene57338
Scott54513
Decatur52539
Adams5237
Whitley4796
Ripley4748
Clay4587
Sullivan45514
Wells44911
Wabash4389
Starke4378
Huntington4365
Orange42125
Spencer4126
Washington3863
Franklin38125
Randolph38110
Jennings37913
Fulton3764
Perry36114
Jefferson3525
Pike34318
Carroll33813
Jay3316
Fountain3193
Tipton28223
Vermillion2681
Parke2504
Newton23611
Blackford2344
Rush2304
Owen2111
Martin2040
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Crawford1631
Brown1463
Ohio1337
Union1140
Benton1100
Switzerland970
Warren891
Unassigned0236

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