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October 11, 1:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Tracking storms & SLIGHT RISK (Level 2 of 5) for severe weather for later today....

Posted: Oct 11, 2021 12:45 PM
Updated: Oct 11, 2021 1:33 PM

Our second severe season is underway.  We typically get 3 here.  Spring mixed storm modes, then period of Summer squall line & derecho risk, then Fall low-instability, high shear severe weather mixed modes.

SLIGHT RISK (Level 2 of 5 or "scattered severe storms") of severe weather risk is up for 4-10 p.m. this afternoon-evening.

2-3 lines of storms will pivot through (moving southwest to northeast) with a couple severe gusts, risk of an EF0-EF1 tornado or two & an isolated severe hailer.

Instability won't be the best, but shear & helicity will make up for it as strong surface low pivots through northwestern Illinois.

Line segments mixed with a few embedded discrete supercells are expected given deep layer helicity of +200 m2/s2 & deep layer shear of up to 55 knots.

Despite lack of best instability, it support organized storm structures.

When you overlay the CAPE with the shear & helicity, the best severe storm risk is central Illinois, but we should have enough here for the scattered severe storm risk.

Tuesday is dry with sunshine & lower humidity, but still warm temperatures in the 70s (with a  after some patchy fog early & lows 59-64.

50s & area of dense fog are likely Wednesday morning, followed by partly cloudy skies & 80s with a south wind.

Scattered storms are likely Wednesday night-Thursday with 80s & MARGINAL RISK for severe weather.

MARGINAL RISK is possible Friday with showers & storms, followed by a more seasonable weekend.

Some showers are possible Saturday morning, followed by partly to mostly cloudy skies with highs 57-64, followed by sun & 60-66 Sunday after morning lows 40-45.

West Lafayette
Cloudy
56° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 56°
Kokomo
Cloudy
58° wxIcon
Hi: 66° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 58°
Rensselaer
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 54°
Fowler
Cloudy
56° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 56°
Williamsport
Cloudy
53° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 53°
Crawfordsville
Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 64° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 55°
Frankfort
Cloudy
57° wxIcon
Hi: 64° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 57°
Delphi
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 63° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 54°
Monticello
Cloudy
54° wxIcon
Hi: 64° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 54°
Logansport
Cloudy
55° wxIcon
Hi: 62° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 55°
More showers, isolated thunder, then nice, Fall-like weekend...
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 994079

Reported Deaths: 16225
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion1340942097
Lake657221150
Allen57000791
Hamilton45877460
St. Joseph43856606
Elkhart35467502
Vanderburgh31922473
Tippecanoe27644256
Johnson24778440
Hendricks23603353
Porter22676362
Madison18488404
Clark18336248
Vigo17227300
Monroe15089197
LaPorte14957249
Delaware14916255
Howard14547286
Kosciusko12115147
Hancock11562175
Bartholomew11413179
Warrick11205188
Floyd10966214
Wayne10812247
Grant9850216
Morgan9346176
Boone8793115
Dubois8194129
Dearborn813092
Henry8098149
Noble7911105
Marshall7767134
Cass7451119
Lawrence7368168
Shelby7085114
Jackson689887
Gibson6468113
Harrison639691
Huntington628799
Knox6262105
DeKalb621796
Montgomery6166109
Miami584894
Putnam572177
Clinton564571
Whitley556355
Steuben548772
Wabash5229101
Jasper517675
Jefferson504095
Ripley491684
Adams471373
Daviess4586112
Scott432968
Greene420496
Wells418087
Clay417060
White413461
Decatur4104101
Fayette401286
Jennings382060
Posey373643
Washington351048
LaGrange350978
Randolph339399
Spencer335842
Fountain331058
Sullivan326352
Starke309968
Owen309369
Fulton303166
Orange289762
Jay277144
Perry263552
Franklin261642
Carroll257632
Rush256732
Vermillion253554
Parke229126
Pike227143
Tipton224959
Blackford187040
Pulaski180354
Crawford157522
Newton155148
Benton150117
Brown142747
Martin137119
Switzerland133411
Warren119916
Union106315
Ohio83912
Unassigned0531

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