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October 1, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest forecast update.

Posted: Oct 1, 2020 4:44 PM
Updated: Oct 2, 2020 2:25 PM

Lows this morning ran 33-44 with patchy dense fog & even some patchy frost as temperatures tanked in areas with clear skies & a calm wind.  The official low at Greater Lafayette was 37. 

Patchy frost will occur tonight with lows 33-39.

On-going forecast below seems good.  I just tweaked tonight's lows a hair from 34-38 to 33-39.  I will have another post later today with as another round of new data arrives.

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The latest US Drought Monitor is out & it shows Moderate Drought over northeastern counties & now in our southern counties.  It is Abnormally Dry elsewhere.

Since latter August 2012 turned so wet, now June-September 2020 is the driest such period since 1999 for the viewing area as a whole with 3-8" deficits since May.

13 Indiana counties are under Burn Bans, the closest to our viewing area being Vermillion, Parke & Tipton counties.

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Lows this morning ran 36-46, coldest readings that stayed clear all night with the lightest winds.

Highs today reached 59-67.

A scattering of showers & t'showers today (some gusty with a few of some graupal to small hail) will continue to taper tonight.  After a windy day, winds will continue to diminish tonight with some fog & lows 37-44 (with variable clouds).

Friday looks partly cloudy with northwest wind at 9-20 mph & highs 56-62.

A few clouds may linger tomorrow night, mainly in the north & northeast, with fog patches & lows of 34-39 (coolest south & southeast & around 37 at Greater Lafayette.

Some patchy frost is possible.

Partly cloudy skies should become mostly cloudy with time Saturday with very light east-southeast wind quickly turning to the south to south-southwest & increasing to 10-20 mph late.  Highs of 61-67 are expected.

A wave of scattered showers is still expected Saturday night to early Sunday morning with lows of 48-54.

After early showers, it appears that cold pocket aloft will pivot through with a scattered of showers & even a few isolated storms with small hail risk will pop up.

With mostly cloudy skies overall, highs will run 58-66 with breezy to windy conditions.

Rainfall totals look to run 0.15-0.40".  A couple/few isolated amounts of +0.40" are possible.

After a nice Monday with mostly sunny skies & highs of 64-69, an Alberta Clipper will move through quickly Tuesday with strong southwest to west winds, even warmer weather & just a few isolated showers.

Very warm, dry pattern takes over mid to next week through the next weekend with temperatures climbing to the 80s with strong southwest winds.

Record heat is possible from South Dakota & Iowa to Nebraska with 90s & some places nearing 100.

High field & brush fire danger will occur in these areas, as well.

Still looks like a shot of cooler air coming in around October 17 with colder than normal temperatures skimming by us.  A night of 29-35 is possible.

Meanwhile, record heat with brush, grassland & forest fire danger, shifts back to the west, but more for the Intermountain West & Northern Rockies to southern High Plains.

Warm surge works back eastward with temperatures shooting up well above normal around October 20-21.

Fri., 10/2 61/37 Partly Cloudy...Saturday AM Lows 34-39

Sat., 10/3 65/52 Partly, Then Mostly Cloudy, Breezy Late, Scattered Showers Saturday Night

Sun., 10/4 65/45 Clouds/Sun, 45% Showers Early....Break....40% Showers/Storms PM, Windy

Mon., 10/5 67/43 Mostly Sunny

Tue., 10/6 72/47 Partly Cloudy, 20% Showers/T'Showers PM, Windy

Wed., 10/7 73/45 Mostly Sunny

Thu., 10/8 78/51 Mostly Sunny, Breezy

Fri., 10/9 81/59 Mostly Sunny, Breezy

Sat., 10/10 86/61 Mostly Sunny, Windy

Sun., 10/11 80/51 Mostly Sunny

Mon., 10/12 82/59  Mostly Sunny, Breezy

Tue., 10/13 84/61  Mostly Sunny, Breezy

Wed., 10/14 83/65 Partly Cloudy, Windy

Thu., 10/15 82/51 Partly Cloudy, 30% Showers/Storms, Windy....SLIGHT RISK parameters show up Oklahoma to Minnesota 14th...not so much here on 15th, owing to lack of appreciable moisture & instability. 

Fri., 10/16 61/41 AM Showers, Then Partly Cloudy, Windy

Sat., 10/17 61/34 AM Frost, Then Mostly Sunny....Monday AM Lows 29-35

Mon., 10/18 65/39 Mostly Sunny

Tue., 10/19 67/43 Mostly Sunny, Breezy

Wed., 10/20 77/53 Mostly Sunny, Windy

Thu., 10/21 79/46 Partly Cloudy, 25% Showers, Windy....MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK severe weather parameters Oklahoma to Missouri...we look starved for moisture & instability.

Fri., 10/22 64/36 AM Frost, Then Partly Cloudy.....Saturday AM 31-37

Sat., 10/23 65/47 Partly Cloudy, Breezy

Sun., 10/24 74/47 Mostly Cloudy, 35% Showers/T'Showers, Breezy

Mon., 10/25 64/39 Partly Cloudy

Tue., 10/26 64/36 AM Frost, Then Mostly Sunny....Wednesday AM 31-37

Wed., 10/27 68/40 Mostly Sunny

Thu., 10/28 68/41 Mostly Sunny

Fri., 10/29 72/53 Partly Cloudy, Windy

Sat., 10/30 70/47 Mostly Cloudy, 45% Showers/Storms, Windy

Sun., 10/31 56/34 Partly Cloudy, Windy

Mon., 11/01 58/31 Mostly Sunny....Tuesday AM Lows 27-32

Tue., 11/02 63/44 Partly Cloudy, Breezy

Wed., 11/03 67/50 Partly Cloudy, Windy

Thu., 11/04 58/51 Mostly Cloudy

Fri., 11/05 65/55 Mostly Cloudy, 50% Showers/Storms, Windy

Sat., 11/06 64/41 AM Showers, Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Windy

West Lafayette
Overcast
45° wxIcon
Hi: 47° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 41°
Kokomo
Overcast
45° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 41°
Rensselaer
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 30°
Feels Like: 41°
Fowler
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 32°
Feels Like: 41°
Williamsport
Overcast
42° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 42°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
42° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 42°
Frankfort
Overcast
46° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 42°
Delphi
Overcast
45° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 41°
Monticello
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 41°
Logansport
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 41°
Cool, wet evening....rain ending, but fog redeveloping.....
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Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 164581

Reported Deaths: 4143
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion26055792
Lake14436358
St. Joseph9606168
Elkhart9271138
Allen8647231
Hamilton6400115
Vanderburgh617162
Tippecanoe396715
Porter347550
Hendricks3418134
Monroe335638
Johnson3286130
Delaware311575
Clark306263
Vigo275340
Madison250896
LaPorte239261
Cass229724
Warrick205065
Kosciusko201127
Floyd187468
Howard169466
Bartholomew147958
Marshall147428
Dubois146426
Wayne142031
Grant133539
Henry133030
Boone129150
Hancock124744
Noble122935
Jackson121018
Dearborn103128
Morgan100340
Lawrence96838
Gibson94412
Clinton92416
Daviess92334
Shelby90632
LaGrange82815
Knox81810
Harrison81024
Posey7767
Putnam77616
Fayette76719
DeKalb76011
Jasper6885
Miami6715
Steuben6608
Montgomery63122
White62316
Greene57838
Adams5607
Scott55413
Decatur52839
Ripley4838
Whitley4836
Clay4617
Sullivan45714
Wells45611
Huntington4455
Starke4438
Wabash4439
Orange42425
Spencer4176
Randolph39210
Jennings38713
Washington3873
Franklin38325
Fulton3785
Perry36914
Jefferson3655
Pike35718
Carroll34313
Jay3386
Fountain3293
Tipton28423
Vermillion2721
Parke2564
Rush2464
Blackford2394
Newton23711
Owen2151
Martin2050
Pulaski1783
Crawford1631
Brown1473
Ohio1337
Union1140
Benton1130
Switzerland980
Warren911
Unassigned0236

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