October 25, 3:15 PM Weather Forecast Update

Wet Saturday, but drying out Sunday with significant cool-down next week.

Posted: Oct 25, 2019 2:28 PM
Updated: Oct 25, 2019 3:16 PM

After lows of 39-46 this morning, highs so far today have reached 50-56 over the viewing area.

Rain will overspread the area tomorrow morning-midday.

Heavier rainfall & isolated thunder/lightning will develop in the afternoon.

Winds will be strong & gusty at times with some gusts up to 40 mph from the east-northeast/east to east-southeast.

Warm front will be pulled more to the north & northwest in the evening as center of deep low moves through our far western & northwestern counties.

If you are prone to aches & pains associated with low pressure, it will be an uncomfortable Saturday evening & night.

Temperatures (after being in the 48-54 range much of the day), may rise to 54-62 northwest to southeast over the area.

Steady rainfall will become showery with a few isolated storms possible.

With surface pressure of the storm down to 992 mb in the evening-night, there is the potential of a brief spurt of 40-50 mph wind gusts over part of the viewing area.

Even after this spurt & after the rain tapers, gusts up to 40 mph from the southwest, then west-southwest are possible during the overnight hours.

Also, a brief, very brief spurt of light to calm wind at the center of the low pressure may occur in our western to northwestern counties for roughly 20-30 minutes.

A solid 1-2" of rainfall will occur across the entire viewing area.  A couple to few isolated +2" totals are possible.

Watch for wet, leaf-covered slippery roadways & clogged drains from leaves, which may lead to ponding.

Low, gray overcast Sunday morning, but should clear west to east through the day.  The eastern areas will be last to see the clearing.

So, highs will run 57-65 with warmest readings in the west & southeast & coolest highs in the east.

Southwest winds may run 15-30 mph in the morning, before they diminish to 10-15 mph by afternoon & then 5-10 mph late afternoon-evening.

With a light wind & mostly clear skies, some fog may form by late Sunday night-early Monday morning with lows 40-45.

Multiple cold front & shortwaves will pass with cold air at the surface & aloft late Monday-Thursday late afternoon:

As for Monday, it looks breezy as skies cloud up..  A few showers are possible in the PM as cold front passes & wind goes to the northwest with gusts to 30 mph.

After highs 51-62 from northwest to southeast, lows Monday night should drop to 31-37.

Tuesday looks partly to mostly cloudy, breezy to windy & cool with a few isolated to spotty rain showers.  Highs should run 45-52.

A few flurries & snow showers are possible Tuesday night-Wednesday morning with partly to mostly cloudy skies & lows 31-34.

Wednesday looks cold with partly to mostly cloudy skies & a few isolated to spotty rain/snow/graupal/sleet showers with highs 43-48 with northwest winds to 32 mph.

A few snow flurries & snow showers are possible Wednesday night with lows 31-33 with partly to mostly cloudy skies.

As for Halloween, it looks partly to mostly cloudy, breezy to windy with a few spotty rain/snow/graupal/sleet showers with highs only 39-45.

Check out the cold air aloft.  Even at 5,000', some of these shortwaves (cold pockets with lower pressure aloft) will bring temperatures down to 25 degrees even at peak heating on the afternoons of Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday.

As we clear Halloween evening & night & winds go light, temperatures will tank to lows of 21-25 by Friday morning with a heavy frost & some patchy fog.

Cold will be slow to get rid of with it lingering into the first couple to few days of November.  The Pacific Typhoon Bauloi will help to make this cold wave pretty significant as it drive strong upper ridge to the Arctic Circle, allowing the unseasonably cold air to drop southwward.

Here are the temperature anomalies for next week.  They are impressive, especially in the South, in Texas & deep into Mexico.  This Arctic airmass may reach the coastal Plains of the Yucatan with unseasonably cold air.  Scenes like this will be frequent this winter with Arctic outbreaks interspersed with incredible warmings (like last winter in many respects).

Only South Florida may be spared this cold in the East (& coastal New England may escape the brunt of it) as southeastern/Bermude upper ridge acts like a wall.

Again, this ridge will be a main player in our winter too with sudden warm surges & it will help to guide winter storms to track over our area, which is why I went for a snowier than normal winter (with the biggest snowfall anomalies [heavy snow] just east & southeast of our area).

Cold slow to erode:

Then check out the impressive warmth moving back in early November (but note the Arctic air looming in the Northern Rockies & far northern Plains.  That Arctic air will be a big player once we get past November 13-15.  It looks to be unleashed for a long period of time with the risk of us getting some very minor accumulating snow (enough to coat things) increasing in latter November with lows down to single digits & teens.

West Lafayette
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Kokomo
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Rensselaer
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Fowler
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Williamsport
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Crawfordsville
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Frankfort
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Delphi
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Monticello
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Logansport
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Hot today with sunshine, then muggy and stormy
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