November 9 Friday Feedback

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Posted: Nov. 9, 2018 2:09 PM
Updated: Nov. 9, 2018 2:16 PM

What county around here seems to bare the brunch of the severe weather forecasts?

Barry S., Delphi

Thank you for the question Barry!

In this map by Darrell Kingfield, the counties that were under Severe T'Storm Watches the most 2007-2017 in our viewing area were Montgomery, Fulton, Cass & Miami counties.

There is overlap of severe weather in the summer months & in spring south of Lafayette, leading to greater occurrence of Severe T'Storm Watches there.

Frequent ridge riders, derechos & squall lines originating near Chicago & maturing in our northeast during the summer months seem to give the northeastern areas an uptick in these t'storm watches.

You can see this in how one band of higher watch incidence occurs in a band near Chicago & southeastward & another emanating from the St. Louis area.

Interestingly, central Kansas has not been the hub of Tornado Watches in this period, but Severe T'Storm Watches with severe MCSs dominating the summer months there.  This leads to very frequent watches of this type.

Tornado Watch occurence over that 10-year period was fairly even in the area, though there is a bit of an elevated occurrence in Warren & Fountain counties in that 26-50 range (compared to the rest of the area).

Although more consistently violent tornadoes occur in the Plains, the Deep South's Dixie Alley has more occurrences overall of weather suitable for tornadoes.

This is due to the number of situations that bring these conditions in the Deep South.  From landfalling tropical depressions, tropical storms & hurricanes to fall, winter & spring storms systems.  Tornadoes in the Plains tend to be confined to the spring Nebraska & southward, but usually peak through summer from eastern Montana to the Dakotas.

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Dry and cold start to work week.
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