Surface low is tracking even farther south. Should track Danville, Illinois to Winamac. If you are prone to aches & pains from low surface air pressure, this will be an uncomfortable evening & night.
Heaviest rains & severe weather will stay southeast of our area with our temperatures reaching the 50s.
We are looking at wind-driven rain on gusty winds developing later today, peaking this evening to tonight. Totals should run 1" or less with the heavy 2-4" rains well southeast of our area.
A squally, gusty line of rain may pivot up & around low pressure as it pivots through. That will likely be where the highest wind gusts are located tonight of 30-40 mph. A few isolated gusts of +45 mph may occur.
Tomorrow will feature a few showers & drizzle early, then a clearing trend with windy weather & highs in the 50s. Winds may gust from the west up to 33 mph.
Wednesday should feature sun & 40s & 50s.
Images: Note the severe weather south & southeast of our area. This model is too far northwest with the surface low track. I think it will be more Danville to Winamac, rather than Springfield to Chicago. It will still deepend from 1001 mb today over Illinois to 991 mb over northeastern Lower Michigan by early tomorrow morning.
Again, that spoke of rain showers pivoting around the low should be the source of our strongest gusts tonight while the organizing QLCS squall line with severe risk will be running far southern Indiana & Kentucky to Ohio.
The leftovers of Super Typhoon Yutu are moving into far Eastern Siberia & the Bering Sea area. They are now in the process of sending the Arctic air southward!
Here comes the cold!
Rainfall is possible late Thursday-Thursday night. Snow showers are possible late Thursday night-Friday as Arctic air races in.
If there is any accumulation, it would be minor. Highs on Friday & Saturday will only be in the 30s with wind chills near 20 to the 20s. Saturday morning wind chills may run 9-15.
Burst of much warmer weather should arrive near mid-month with rainfall & gusty south to southwest winds. Another round of Arctic air should follow.
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