November 4, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your latest weather forecast update!

Posted: Nov 4, 2019 3:45 PM
Updated: Nov 4, 2019 6:07 PM

Overall.............through November 20, we have three brief warm surges with 50s to 60s.  In-between these, bursts of Arctic air will try to blast in with some snow showers & flurries.  There will be a lot of wind, with +30 mph gusts nearly daily.

So....................let the ride begin................

Breezy to windy election day is ahead with gusts up to 30 mph at times from the west-northwest to west.

It will be cooler than today with highs 42-50 overall for the viewing area after 30-35 in the morning for lows.

There will be more clouds in the north half than south overall.

That, after a couple isolated showers & sprinkles in the south this evening-tonight before clearing.

After a windy, warm Wednesday with highs 55-60 (with partly cloudy skies), we should see our high for the day Thursday early in the morning at 39-46.

Temperatures should then fall with strong northwest to north winds up to 35 mph & temperatures dropping to 30-35 by mid-afternoon, then 25-30 by evening.

It is a very strong, dynamic system, but real lack of moisture or CAPE preventing more widespread, heavier rainfall with storms.

Wind chills will drop from 17-23 mid-afternoon to 10-15 by evening.

Scattered showers should change to a period of snow showers.  Grass may be dusted or whitened in some locations, mainly along & north of US 24.

We will monitor.

As Arctic high moves in during the night, winds will decrease, but lows may drop to 16-22 with some lingering stratus/stratocumulus in parts of the area, enhanced by the lake.

Friday looks cold & breezy with stratocumulus & sunshine (more sun southwest, more clouds north & northeast) with a few scattered flurries & snow showers (mainly lake effect & in the northern to northeastern half of the viewing area).

Highs should only reach 31-37 with wind chills (even at the warmest time of day) running 22-31.

Then, big warm-up arrives late next weekend on strong southwest winds up to 40 mph.

Very strong, dynamic system will pass Sunday with Arctic front.  Some showers are possible & some isolated thunder may occur as low-topped line with big temperature & pressure gradient moves through.

Temperature will drop from highs of 55-60 to 31-35 very quickly.  20- to 25-degree temperature drop may occur with passage of the front.

It may literally go from southwest wind & warmth to snow showers in 1 to 1.5 hours.

Lows of 18-24 are likely Sunday night, followed by a few snow showers & flurries Monday (with windy conditions) & highs just 28-33.

Another big warm surge is likely right around mid-month.  50s & 60s are possible.

Rain & some storms are possible.  We will wait & see how much CAPE & moisture can recover from the Arctic blasts.

Thoughts are that more will recover in this round than all of the other warm periods.  So, rainfall coverage & intensity looks higher.

Best severe risk is Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana & Mississippi.  Accumulating snowfall is possible Kansas to Wisconsin.

Arctic air is opened again after that storm system.

Check out the degree of Arctic air behind that front!

I would not be surprised to see the 0 line make it to Kansas & Nebraska to Iowa over snow pack.  -20 is possible in parts of the Dakotas.

Shot of bitterly cold air is possible in late November with a freeze to north-central Florida.

Our highs may only run 18-22 on a day or two after a minor 1" or less snow.

We should see a radical change as we move out of November & into December.

It looks mild!

Note the recovery process as we transition to warmth.

However, also note the extreme, bitterly cold air (for the time of year) in Canada & far northern U.S.

Again, looks exactly like last winter.

And then the warm overspreads the central & eastern U.S.

Two things are unclear, however.

One:  Whether just a mild, strong, zonal Pacific flow will dominate (with below normal precipitation here) with warmth widespread over the entire Lower 48 with a cut-off cold upper low in the Southwest U.S. to Mexico (with rain & snow)...................OR.....................

Two:  The West has a deep, cold trough & the central & East have a warm upper ridge with wet & warm weather here.

Either way we look mild.  Whether we are wetter or drier is the question.

However, things should change drastically as we approach or exit Christmas with Arctic air flooding the area.

Analog suggests first substantial winter weather event or storm around this time.

West Lafayette
Overcast
43° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 38°
Feels Like: 39°
Kokomo
Overcast
43° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 39°
Rensselaer
Overcast
37° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 37°
Fowler
Overcast
37° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 37°
Williamsport
Overcast
38° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 33°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
44° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 39°
Feels Like: 40°
Frankfort
Overcast
44° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 40°
Delphi
Overcast
43° wxIcon
Hi: 50° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 39°
Monticello
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 48° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 41°
Logansport
Overcast
41° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 36°
Feels Like: 41°
More rainfall ahead.
WLFI Radar
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 162607

Reported Deaths: 4130
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion25871792
Lake14222358
St. Joseph9532166
Elkhart9156137
Allen8552230
Hamilton6335114
Vanderburgh609062
Tippecanoe391815
Porter341650
Hendricks3367134
Monroe333238
Johnson3239130
Delaware307675
Clark303163
Vigo272440
Madison248096
LaPorte236161
Cass228523
Warrick201565
Kosciusko198427
Floyd185868
Howard168466
Bartholomew146958
Dubois145526
Marshall145126
Wayne137931
Henry131330
Grant131039
Boone128050
Hancock123144
Noble121935
Jackson118517
Dearborn101728
Morgan98940
Lawrence94737
Gibson92812
Daviess91334
Clinton90316
Shelby89431
LaGrange82815
Knox81310
Harrison79924
Posey7667
Putnam76616
DeKalb75811
Fayette73918
Jasper6655
Miami6615
Steuben6578
Montgomery62022
White61016
Greene57338
Scott54513
Decatur52539
Adams5237
Whitley4796
Ripley4748
Clay4587
Sullivan45514
Wells44911
Wabash4389
Starke4378
Huntington4365
Orange42125
Spencer4126
Washington3863
Franklin38125
Randolph38110
Jennings37913
Fulton3764
Perry36114
Jefferson3525
Pike34318
Carroll33813
Jay3316
Fountain3193
Tipton28223
Vermillion2681
Parke2504
Newton23611
Blackford2344
Rush2304
Owen2111
Martin2040
Pulaski1753
Crawford1631
Brown1463
Ohio1337
Union1140
Benton1100
Switzerland970
Warren891
Unassigned0236

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events