SEVERE WX: Winter Weather Advisory View Alerts

November 4, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update: Strong Storm System Monday Night

Gusty storm system with wind-driven rainfall & isolated storms (isolated severe southeast) will pass Monday night.

Posted: Nov. 4, 2018 9:23 PM
Updated: Nov. 4, 2018 10:05 PM

Sunday was showery, especially in the p.m., but the rain was never really steady as a good chunk of it went into just saturating the lower levels (with entrainment of drier air from the southeast all day).  Thus, rainfall totals amounted to just less than 0.25" over much of the area.  The highest total, 0.37" was measured in northern Newton County.

One system departs & another one enters..........

Rainfall will return later Monday, along with increasing wind.  One round of +30 mph gusts exits & another round enters late MondayMonday evening.  Monday late wind will be form the southeast to south-southeast with temperatures in the 50s to 60.

Rain & storms will pass with deepening surface low Monday evening-night.  There is the risk of an isolated severe gust 9 p.m.-12 a.m. in our southeastern counties as spoke of gusty, squally rain showers with isolated thunder/lightning pivots through.

Otherwise, it should clear with the dry slot for a bit tomorrow night with gust west to northwest winds of 35-45 mph at times with sustaineds winds at 15-25 mph.

Low clouds will roll back in late, lasting into Tuesday morning with an isolated shower or two.

After 50s to 60 Monday night, temperatures should fall to upper 40s by Tuesday morning.

Some clearing will take place Election Day Tuesday, but it will be windy from the west to west-northwest all day at 20-35 mph.

It should warm some to the 50s, followed by the upper 30s to 40 Tuesday night.  It may clear at first, then cloud up again with winds becoming west-southwest & decreasing to 6-12 mph.

Rainfall totals between Sunday & early Tuesday morning should run 0.75-1.50". I cut back on the initial 1.50-3" projection, as it appears that alot of the deep moisture with the heavy rainfall will get taken up from Arkansas & Mississippi to far southern Indiana to Kentucky.

2-5" of rainfall is possible southeast of our area over far southern Indiana & Kentucky.

After 40s to 50s Wednesday & Thursday, rain will come in late Thursday.  Arctic blast will come in Friday-Saturday with highs only in the 30s with low near 20.  Some snow showers are possible Friday.  If any accumulation occurs, it would be minor.

Major warm-up should occur with spring warmth & rain/storms around mid-month.  Second blast of Arctic air should follow with potential of some minor snowfall.

Article Comments

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