After some spits of rain & sleet to even a few spotty rain showers this morning, we have seen much of the day dry, cloudy & cool.
Rain should overspread the area tonight & last well into tomorrow morning, then taper to just a few showers, just in time for the Old Oaken Bucket game at Ross-Ade.
Showers should begin to increase later in the afternoon again.
It will be cold & raw with temperatures in the 40-45 range with strong east to southeast winds at 15-30 mph.
We should warm up rapidly into the 50s in the late evening-early overnight with showers & storms developing.
I cannot rule out a couple isolated hailers (largely sub-severe).
Winds will shift to the south & be strong during this time at 20-40 mph.
Dry slot should come in overnight to very early Sunday morning with a respite in the wind for a bit as skies clear & temperatures drop into the 40s.
Then, low clouds will roll in & mixed rain & snow will pass through during Sunday.
A total of 0.80-1.50" of rainfall seems likely tonight-Monday morning.
Winds will crank back up from the southwest to the west to 20-40 mph at times.
Sunday evening-night winds should peak with gusts of 30-40 mph with isolated gusts 40-50 mph as they turn to the northwest.
Rain/snow should go to scattered snow Sunday night to early Monday morning before tapering.
Some localized, grassy, elevated, very minor accumulation cannot be ruled out.
It should still be windy for a good chunk of Monday, but gusts will gradually decrease from 30-40 mph early to 20-30 mph by midday & early afternoon.
They should go down to winds of only 3-5 mph by Monday night.
With clearing skies, a heavy frost should form with lows 18-25.
Cold front should pass Tuesday with increasing clouds, gusty southwest to west to northwest winds to 40 mph & highs 44-50. A couple isolate rain to rain/snow showers are possible.
Wednesday looks to turn mostly sunny with decreasing wind! Highs should run near 40 to the mid 40s.
Friday looks windy, mostly cloudy & dry with north winds 15-30 mph. Highs of near 40 to 44 are likely. Lows should run in the 30s.
We may clear next Saturday with winds diminishing to 10 mph & turning to the east-southeast with highs in the 40s with lows in the 20s & 30s.
50 to the 50s are possible Sunday with strong south-southwest winds gusting to 35 mph as skies become mostly cloudy to cloudy.
Rain should arrive late Sunday evening (December 8).
This is a big powerhouse storm that we will have to watch for passage December 9-10 (Monday-Tuesday).
It looks like a warm, windy system with lots of rain & even a few storms. Highs in the 50s to 60 are possible.
Strong winds are likely with it, potentially a high wind event in the making.
It is a good set-up for another storm to deepen very rapidly just northwest of our area.
We will monitor.
0.80-1.50" currently looks possible late December 8-10.
Another wet, mild, windy system is possible at the mid-point of December, followed by progressively colder weather. It may get especially bitterly cold near & after Christmas with risk of winter storms & also Nor'Easters on the East Coast. There may be a very random, brief sudden warm-up with rain timed out amidst the colder weather in the December 16-24 time frame.
Extreme "Polar Vortex" events may occur in early to mid-January or even potentially at the very tail end of December. Lows of -20 are likely.
Warmth burst late January, followed by extreme cold event, then very mild late February (followed by cold 3/4 of March) is still showing up among analogs. Snowfall still looks above normal for the late December to early February period & then again in first 3/4 of March.