Clipper & southern storm phasing should occur by early Monday morning into one main, strong storm that will race from the central Appalachians to southwestern & western Quebec.
Monday will be a windy to very windy day with snow showers & 30s.
1" or less of accumulation is possible by Monday night over much of the area. 1-2" (with isolated +2" amounts) is possible in our far north & east from more lake influence.
If the lake effect band moves farther west, then the 1-2" (isolated +2") would move farther west, however. We will monitor.
The most widespread, heaviest snowfall will be over Ohio (especially north-central & northeastern Ohio) & the Appalachians (especially in the higher terrain).
The strong winds with the snowfall there will lead to big impacts.
Peak gusts of 35-50 mph from the north to north-northwest are possible here.
Some peaks of sun are even possible at time mixed up in the snow showers late Monday afternoon-evening.
Tuesday should feature clearing with any snow flurries exiting our northeastern counties early.
Some slick areas on roads in the viewing area would tend to occur Monday night-Tuesday early AM with 20s.
The windy conditions will diminish Tuesday evening.
Tuesday night-Wednesday morning should see lows of 19-24.
Other than a few isolated showers Friday, the week & next weekend looks dry with temperatures warming back to the 40s.
Trend is still warmer than normal mid to late December, especially Christmas & onward to the first 3 days of January. A White Christmas is still highly unlikely. Some severe weather & near/record warm days &/or nights cannot be ruled out.
Can we squeeze in a brief snow in this mild pattern? It is possible. We could get a quick snow when it is around 32 & the next day is 40s. So, if we can get one, it would be on the ground briefly as the temperatures will be too mild for any sustained snow cover. Snowfall still looks below normal for December.
Trend is still wetter regime with time mid to late December.
Still warmer than normal, but not as much as December or February, it appears.
January & February looks wetter than normal with increased risk of some flooding & severe weather.
January should feature near normal snowfall with below normal snowfall in February.
March looks wetter, stormier & warmer than normal with increased risk of some flooding & severe weather risk. Snowfall will be below normal.