After some patchy freezing rain, sleet & snow this morning & this burst of sunshine with milder temperatures this afternoon, it appears that temperature will drop fairly quickly to 32 by near midnight & stay there into early tomorrow morning.
At the same time, some scattered rain showers will move in.
So, I do think we will have some scattered freezing rain showers tonight that may bring trace amounts of ice over parts of the area. Also, freezing drizzle is possible, with could bring some trace amounts of ice. With that freezing drizzle, it appears that conditions will become favorable for areas of dense fog to developing after 12 a.m. So, be aware that there may be a some slick spots in the morning & visibility may be reduced reduced in areas.
There entire viewing area should climb above 32 degrees by 10 a.m.
The fog & drizzle will occur as southeast to east winds transport warm, moist air over the top of a ground that is at/below freezing & surface air temperatures at freezing. Melting snow & ground thawing from the 30s/40s with sun will add to the moisture to make fog, too. This is all occurring as our powerhouse storm just begins to change our weather, turning us much milder.
Now, winds may go back to the northeast to east tomorrow afternoon, but they will be back to the southeast, then south & southwest, bringing our 12-hour spring Saturday.
Any drizzle & areas of dense fog should lift by 11 a.m., followed by mostly cloudy to cloudy skies & highs of 42-47 with a light wind.
It also appears that rain tomorrow night may begin as freezing rain for about an hour north of U.S. 24. This rain will overspread the area after midnight with the warm front.
Initially, temperatures will run 32 north to 43 south at the onset of the rain, but then rise to 40-52 north to south by Saturday morning.
It looks like a lot of rain with a few embedded t'storms Friday overnight-Saturday morning. This all should taper late morning-midday.
Then the sun should appear as cumulus towers build & temperatures surge from 45-55 to 55-64 over the area. Scattered showers & t'storms will bubble up in spokes pivoting around the center of the low pressure to our west. An isolated severe storm or two cannot be ruled out late afternoon-evening. Much of the area is in a Marginal Risk for severe weather.
Here is slow-motion of the Simulated Radar Reflectivity via the North American Mesoscale Model from around noon to the evening hours just after the parade in Lafayette.
Saturday will be windy all day. Right now, it looks like the winds will be strongest in the morning with gusts to 45 mph, followed by gusts to 40 mph in the afternoon-evening at times.
It looks like hefty rainfall totals Saturday-Sunday with 1.25-2" area-wide. Much of this will fall Saturday, especially in the morning hours. Make sure your drains are clear of leaves & other debri!
- November 28, 4 PM Quick Weather Forecast Update: Temperature To Drop to Critical 32 Degrees Tonight
- November 26, 1:15 PM: Quick Weather Forecast Update
- 5:32 PM FORECAST UPDATE
- November 28, 1:30 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 28, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update: Active!
- November 11, 7 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 11, 12 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 12, 6 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 22, 7 PM Weather Forecast Update
- November 27, 2 PM Weather Forecast Update