November 26, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update with Emphasis on Next Week

Here is your latest forecast update with focus on the strong winds & colder weather with even some snow showers early next week.

Posted: Nov 26, 2020 9:24 PM
Updated: Nov 26, 2020 10:47 PM

The 1.71" of rain in the past 4 days at our WLFI ob site has been the most in such a period since January 8-11, 2020..........nearly 11 months!  3.07" fell in that 4-day period. 

Rainfall totals of the past week vary from 0.65-3.4" per Doppler estimates & gauges in the area from observers & automatic equipment verify these numbers.

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On this mostly cloudy to cloudy Thanksgiving, highs were 45-51 today.  Lows as of 9:45 p.m. for the day are 37-46.

Watch the southern storm system clipper merge.  The colder air follows the clipper & watch the snow blossom east & southeast of our area Monday as our winds really pick up to gusts 30-50 mph from the north to north-northwest with temperatures in the 30s.

Heavy snowfall & strong winds with big impacts will occur Monday-Monday night Ohio to eastern & central Kentucky, West Virginia to even the higher terrain of eastern Tennessee, northeast Georgia & western North Carolina.

We will likely see some very minor accumulation in the viewing area of 1" or less Monday-Monday night from system snow showers & lake effect snow showers.  A few isolated 1-2" amounts are possible.

4-10" may fall in Ohio.  +12" may fall in the higher elevations of eastern Tennessee to West Virginia & far western north Carolina with a bit less in the valleys.

We will continue to monitor.

Still looks like a situation of 32 in Ohio to eastern Tennessee with snow & 60s with severe weather risk in New England.

There will also be severe weather risk from southern Alabama through the Carolinas to northern Florida.

From southern Mississippi to northwestern Florida, there continues to be the risk of even a strong, longer track tornado or two Sunday evening through Sunday night to Monday morning.  This is cause a substantial risk as it will occur in the darkness hours.

Interesting temperature anomaly pattern is setting up.  Next week, the eastern & southeastern U.S. average cooler than normal (especially Southeast).

Beyond that to December 10, trend is to build impressive warmth from the Plains southeastward to our area as very strong upper ridge of the time of year expands.  Record warmth is possible in the Northern Plains.

The ridge will be so warm & strong that any system will tend to ride its underbelly into the Southeast & deepen, keeping it cooler & wet there.

We look drier than normal to December 10 after this little wet period this week with increasing warmth.  Monday-Wednesday will likely be the only slightly-below normal days for a long time.

Warmth builds mid to late December.  Temperatures should then average above to well-above normal from our area to the Northern Plains.  No White Christmas is expected.  Instead, there may be some showers & storms with severe weather in the Southeast U.S. to as far north as southwestern & southern Indiana around Christmas.

A brief cool snap with normal temperatures may follow just after Christmas, followed by significant warmth as we end December & move into the first several days of January.

Only New England may see a substantial cold snap with potential round of heavy snow.

Precipitation-wise, after any very minor snowfall Monday-Monday night, there is no real snow signal (unless this changes in upcoming data) until after January 5.

Precipitation looks below normal for the first half to 2/3 of December, then goes above normal.

This above normal pattern increases even more in January.

Best potential of a bigger snow for sledding & bigger-time plowing would be after January 10.  Then, a couple snows in succession may occur, per analog analysis.

Lafayette
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 38°
Kokomo
Partly Cloudy
40° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 32°
Rensselaer
Partly Cloudy
37° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 34°
Feels Like: 29°
Lafayette
Clear
45° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 38°
Danville
Partly Cloudy
48° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 39°
Feels Like: 42°
Frankfort
Partly Cloudy
41° wxIcon
Hi: 49° Lo: 37°
Feels Like: 34°
Frankfort
Clear
41° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 34°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
39° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 32°
Monticello
Partly Cloudy
39° wxIcon
Hi: 46° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 32°
Logansport
Partly Cloudy
36° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 33°
Feels Like: 29°
Mild Conditions Continue Wednesday
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Cases: 657037

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CountyCasesDeaths
Marion901321624
Lake48105871
Allen35552632
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Vanderburgh21115377
Tippecanoe19765197
Johnson16242352
Porter15838267
Hendricks15723296
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Vigo11503228
Monroe10248158
Delaware9788178
LaPorte9720194
Howard9017194
Kosciusko8514107
Bartholomew7373147
Warrick7369146
Hancock7362128
Floyd7139164
Wayne6586188
Grant6395157
Morgan6040124
Boone603388
Dubois5868111
Dearborn540266
Henry539492
Marshall5390104
Cass537199
Noble506775
Jackson462063
Shelby458490
Lawrence4154111
Gibson399681
Harrison395160
Clinton392353
DeKalb382078
Montgomery381583
Knox354484
Miami354063
Whitley346235
Huntington338176
Steuben335955
Wabash328775
Putnam325959
Ripley325161
Adams320249
Jasper312943
White295351
Jefferson292770
Daviess284296
Fayette270255
Decatur269388
Greene259978
Posey259731
Wells255374
Scott248446
LaGrange240170
Clay238944
Randolph225076
Spencer215830
Jennings213544
Washington207727
Sullivan202038
Fountain200341
Starke185950
Owen181652
Jay177328
Fulton176437
Carroll175618
Perry172435
Orange170450
Rush163922
Franklin158335
Vermillion158040
Tipton145441
Parke137915
Pike127232
Blackford120027
Pulaski105643
Newton96431
Brown94639
Benton91113
Crawford90113
Martin80114
Switzerland7507
Warren74612
Union66810
Ohio52711
Unassigned0425

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