November 16, 10 PM Weather Forecast Update

The latest Long Ranger is up!

Posted: Nov 16, 2020 9:26 PM
Updated: Nov 16, 2020 10:19 PM

Peak measured gusts from Sunday have been plotted!  The highest non-t'storm gust measured was 60 mph at Remington.  The highest t'storm gust occurred in Fulton County with 64 mph gust just north of Athens as line of storms raced through Sunday morning.  Strong winds (some severe) & reports of pea-sized hail were received in northern Miami & eastern Fulton counties.

It was a nice Monday with highs 50-57, though rather breezy.

It will warm up this week to near record warm levels by Friday-Saturday.

Friday & Saturday night's lows look near/record warm.

Friday's record high is 74 set in 1942.

Saturday's record high is 72 in 1990. 

Sunday's record is 72 in 1931.

The low of 55 Saturday night is 3 degrees from the record warm low of 58 set in 1934.  The low of 60 forecast for Saturday night would beat the record warm low of 56 set in 1913, 1927, 1934 & 2010.

Line of showers/storms is likely Sunday near midday with isolated severe weather risk.

More warmth & some severe risk is possible near/after Thanksgiving as well.  Monday night looks like the coldest night through Thanksgiving.

The second half of November average very warm for the time of year with above normal rainfall.

There is the risk for some severe weather & also high wind event days & some near/record warmth is possible at times.

Warm eastern 2/3, cold western 1/3 of the Lower 48:

Western & Northwestern U.S. is cold, snowy & wet, while the Plains are drier.  However, above normal rainfall will dominate our area & through the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes to Northeast.  The Deep South looks drier.

Looking ahead to December it looks warmer & wetter than normal with near/record warmth at times & elevated risk of some severe weather.

December temperature anomalies (there will likely be more cold in the Far West & Northwest than what this image below via CFSV2 model shows, though I agree with that it shows over the eastern & southern U.S. with the impressive warmth):

December precipitation anomalies:

January will not be as warm, but still above normal with above normal rainfall.  I actually think snowfall could end up near normal, but I really think this is the only month that will have decent amount.

It also appears that there will be an elevated risk of severe weather & flooding as well as potential of a day or two of record warmth.

The cold, snowy, rough winter weather should be over the Northwest U.S., Northern Rockies & Northern Plains.  There will be some brutally cold weather in those areas.

We may only have one night that it gets down to 0 or a little below.

January temperature anomalies:

January precipitation anomalies:

January & February feature elevated risk of ice storm or at least a substantial icing event, per analog analysis.

Speaking of February, it looks warmer than January with same weather pattern.  A record high temperature or two could occur, along with continued elevated risk of a cool-season severe weather event & flooding.

Snowfall currently looks below normal.

Looks like early start to spring with unusually warm weather in March with higher than normal risk of severe weather & flooding.  March looks like the wettest month of the November-March period with potential of double the normal rainfall.

Snowfall looks below normal.

April looks warmer, wetter than normal & stormy with narrow window to get some crops out in an otherwise month of fieldwork downtime.

May looks warmer & wetter & stormy, while potential of widespread drought in Summer with above normal temperatures (& 100 to 100s).  Subsoil moisture reserves will be key & it will be important to not rush the growing season by working ground too wet.  That will pose big issue in summer when it dries.

There is also greater tha normal potential of a serial derecho or "Ring of Fire" derecho to impact the area (per analog) in Summer 2021.

West Lafayette
Clear
21° wxIcon
Hi: 45° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: °
Kokomo
Clear
22° wxIcon
Hi: 39° Lo: 22°
Feels Like: 12°
Rensselaer
Clear
19° wxIcon
Hi: 41° Lo: 22°
Feels Like: 13°
Fowler
Clear
19° wxIcon
Hi: 43° Lo: 23°
Feels Like: 13°
Williamsport
Clear
21° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 22°
Feels Like: °
Crawfordsville
Clear
22° wxIcon
Hi: 44° Lo: 25°
Feels Like: 22°
Frankfort
Clear
22° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 24°
Feels Like: 16°
Delphi
Clear
21° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 23°
Feels Like: 15°
Monticello
Clear
21° wxIcon
Hi: 42° Lo: 22°
Feels Like: 15°
Logansport
Clear
23° wxIcon
Hi: 39° Lo: 20°
Feels Like: 15°
Cold night, then drier, milder regime.
WLFI Radar
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Cases: 338977

Reported Deaths: 5723
CountyCasesDeaths
Marion46131870
Lake29183469
Allen19572307
Elkhart18074236
St. Joseph17808239
Hamilton14364172
Vanderburgh10546128
Tippecanoe948130
Porter890690
Johnson7132171
Hendricks6820162
Vigo643592
Monroe572452
Madison5506124
Clark547678
Delaware5252104
LaPorte501997
Kosciusko484042
Howard382978
Bartholomew355165
Warrick350073
Wayne345886
Floyd338078
Marshall320446
Cass311531
Grant302550
Hancock294357
Noble274147
Boone267655
Henry266139
Dubois253732
Jackson242034
Dearborn241131
Morgan236543
Gibson207329
Shelby204159
Knox198021
DeKalb193435
Clinton192922
Lawrence191349
Wabash183922
Miami181417
Adams180023
Daviess167545
Fayette159834
Jasper159113
Montgomery158329
Steuben158116
Harrison155824
Ripley155721
LaGrange152232
Whitley149715
Huntington141810
White140323
Decatur140044
Putnam138129
Wells137030
Clay135125
Randolph134022
Jefferson133416
Posey130318
Scott119421
Greene112253
Sullivan106717
Jay106414
Jennings98714
Starke98025
Spencer9268
Fulton90119
Fountain8778
Perry87321
Washington8487
Franklin77027
Carroll75313
Orange73128
Vermillion6927
Owen6699
Parke6466
Tipton64027
Rush6078
Blackford59613
Newton59412
Pike54920
Pulaski45016
Benton3943
Martin3866
Brown3815
Crawford3251
Union3012
Switzerland2735
Warren2663
Ohio2457
Unassigned0267

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events