November 1, 4:30 PM Weather Update

Rainfall will pick up again..........overall wet, active right to mid-month, then colder with even some minor snow possible.

Posted: Nov 1, 2018 3:56 PM
Updated: Nov 1, 2018 4:46 PM

Rain will pick up this evening again after letting up some for a bit.

Winds will continue to be gusty, driving that cold rain.  Gust up to 35 mph from the north-northeast, then north are possible.

Rain will taper later tonight with lows 37-40.  Winds will eventually turn to the northwest & diminish.

A few isolated showers are possible tomorrow with mostly cloudy skies & highs 46-51 & northwest winds at 8-14 mph.

Saturday looks partly to mostly cloudy with highs 52-56 with east-southeast winds becoming south-southeast at 7-11 mph, then increasing to 14-24 mph late.

As for Sunday, a good chunk of the day is looking dry.  However, clouds will increase with gusty south winds at 15-30 mph.  After 42-46 in the morning, highs should run 63-66.  A band of showers & a storms should pass in the evening-overnight hours.

The severe weather risk & corridor of heaviest rainfall will reside from Texas to Kentucky to Ohio........just southeast of our area.

Rainfall totals Sunday evening-night of 0.30-0.60" are possible.

Some rain is possible early Monday morning, but it is looking more & more as if there will be a break in the rainfall until Monday evening.  Highs should reach 62-66 after morning lows in the 50-55 range.  Skies just look partly to mostly cloudy Monday before becoming cloudy in the evening.  It does not look like as much wind either, with southeast winds at 7-12 mph.

Widespread rainfall & an isolated storm or two should pass Tuesday with southeast to south winds 15-30 mph. In the evening, as the wind quickly goes to the northeast & north to northwest, winds may gust to 45 mph with that rainfall. This is if current trends hold as low pressure deepens quite a bit to our east.

As surface low deepens so rapidly, a low-topped squall line of severe storms may rake areas from eastern Kentucky to Pennsylvania & New Jersey.

Other severe weather will occur Mississippi to Kentucky.  Right now it all looks to stay southeast of our area.

Nonetheless, 1-2" of rainfall is possible.

Some minor lowland flooding is possible.

Another gusty, strong November storm system is due mid-month with widespread rainfall

It is definitely a wet pattern for the first half of November!  Some minor lowland flooding will likely occur.  Very wet fields with ponding will but the kabosh on any fall tillage or harvest left for now.  In fields that still have some crops in them, it may not be suitable for harvest until the ground freezes pretty hard & deeply after mid-November.

Green & blue is wetter than normal.

It is also overall warmer than normal.  Orange & red to the brownish color is above normal temperature-wise.

Cold pattern looks to settle in after that for a good 8-9 days.

A wave of minor snow could occur in the November 16-25 period.

Temperatures should rebound after that, followed by burst of cold getting into the first couple of weeks of December.

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Rainfall is ahead for Thursday!
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