May 7, 5:45 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is your early evening update regarding the tedious forecast of this frontal boundary in the area.

Posted: May 7, 2019 4:44 PM
Updated: May 7, 2019 5:58 PM

With just a few random isolated showers today, highs varied from 57-77 across the front from all of our airport, INDOT & CWOP sites.

A well-placed personal weather station southwest of Veedersburg hit 80 today, while another good weather station on the Kankakee River at Hebron reached just 55.

Front will drop back southward tonight with lows 44-55 north to far southwest

Some scattered showers & a couple isolated storms are possible near & north of the front.

Rainfall coverage will run around 40%.

Warm front will begin to slowly lift back northward later tonight.

Wednesday looks largely dry, windy & WARM!  It looks like the warmest day of 2019 (so far) for many areas with highs 78-84 with dew points climbing to 62-66 making it feel a bit muggy & hot.

At least the south wind will gust to 30 mph.

On the outflow boundary of the weakening band/line of rain & storms from Missouri, new line of storms will likely form in the evening & pass 9 p.m.-12 a.m.

Severe risk is MARGINAL or isolated for mainly a few isolated severe gusts.  Second threat is a brief, weak, isolated tornado due to good directional shear in the lowest 5000' of the troposphere.

Line does not look to organize the best as it outruns the better dynamics & shear, but a line nonetheless.

This is likely what is behind keeping risk MARGINAL per SPC. 

We will monitor.

Showers & storms are possible Thursday morning with risk of an isolated severe storm in southeastern Montgomery & far southern Clinton counties.  Temperatures will be balmy Wednesday night-Thursday morning in the 60s.

How much redevelopment of showers & storms & whether there is any isolated severe risk in the afternoon-evening will hinge on how much sun & instability can develop after the morning rain.

I went for highs in the 70s with potential of the development of some showers/storms as the cold front approaches & pass late in the day & into the evening.

Friday & Saturday looks partly cloudy & cool with cold nights, followed by some scattered showers Saturday night to Sunday morning along a cold front that will re-enforce below normal temperatures Sunday.

Monday looks dry.

Much of Tuesday looks dry.

Some showers & storms are possible Thursday night-Friday of next week, but they do not look particularly widespread or heavy.

Highs will tend to run in the 70s with lows in the 50s & 60s.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 74°
Kokomo
Broken Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 73°
Rensselaer
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 73°
Fowler
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 73°
Williamsport
Overcast
72° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 72°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
68° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 68°
Frankfort
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 74°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Logansport
Clear
72° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 72°
Warm Start, but Cooler Finish with Scattered Showers.
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