May 6, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

New data is streaming in. Here is the latest forecast update with any needed tweaks.

Posted: May 6, 2019 9:51 PM
Updated: May 6, 2019 10:54 PM

Fowler & Attica tied for their warmest day of 2019.   Our 78 here at the station was the second warmest day of 2019 so far (after 80 on April 11.  The Purdue Airport reached 77, a tie for the second warmest day of 2019.

We have not had rainfall at the station in West Lafayette for two consecutive days.  The last time we saw two consecutive days without rainfall at our observation site was April 21-22.

The last time we saw more than 3 days without rainfall was March 31-April 3.

Tonight, cold front is working southward, but it is outrunning the spotty showers & storms triggered by it (front becoming anafrontal).  They are tend to occur in the cooler air behind it.

So, for the rest of the night, mostly cloudy to cloudy skies north, partly cloudy skies south with some haze & light fog over the area.

Front will reach our southern counties overnight.  Lake breeze front will reach Benton, White to Pulaski counties with lows of 45-49 with 50-54 elsewhere.

A few isolated showers & t'showers are possible in the far north & northwest, well north of the front.

As for tomorrow, temperatures are tricky.  It all depends on where EXACTLY the front sets up.  Some data suggests a 75 day at Greater Lafayette, but I am siding more with 68 right now with 50s north & upper 70s to 80 in the far south, south of the front.

There will be more clouds in the north & a bit more sun in the south.

As for rainfall tomorrow, isolated to spotty showers are possible, mainly in the north & northwest parts of the area.

Rainfall should pick up in the evening from west to east.  This will last right through the overnight.

Note how some storms will occur along the warm front & just south of it.

There is the risk of an isolated severe storm in that zone south of a Fowler to Brookston to Kokomo line.

Temperatures will range from 47-53 in the north to as high as 62 in the south tomorrow night with that front in the area.

Showers & storms are possible Wednesday morning as the warm front begins to lift northward more & more.

An isolated severe storm of hail is possible.

It could completely get through the area rather than stall between Route 18 & US 24.

So, I upped the Greater Lafayette high from 73 to 77 & northern area highs from 58 to 70.

Overall, highs look to run 70-81 from northeast to southwest.

Showers & storms are likely Wednesday evening.  It is looking like severe risk will develop.  Parameters suggest SLIGHT RISK.

Once this goes through, Wednesday night looks balmy & muggy with lows in the 60s.

As for Thursday, some showers & storms are possible in the morning, followed by a break with sun & windy conditions.

Showers & storms are possible Thursday late afternoon evening with severe risk.

Highs Thursday will tend to run in the 70s, possibly to 80 if we maximize the sunshine.

A few showers are possible Friday with clearing & 57-63, then 38-43 Friday night & a dry weekend of 60s with lows near 40 to the 40s.

Monday even looks dry at 67-71 with lows 45-52.

These are the projected rainfall totals now to May 17.

They will tend to run 1-3".

Any good news?  Yes!  Much of this looks to fall this week with much less expected next week.

Although the weekend & part of next week looks cooler than normal with chilly nights, it is looking drier.

Much warmer & quite a stretch of dry weather is expected late month. 

This is great news for area farmers.

We still look to get some good periods of nice drying time, which could overall last even to early June.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 74°
Kokomo
Broken Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 73°
Rensselaer
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 73°
Fowler
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 73°
Williamsport
Overcast
72° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 72°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
68° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 68°
Frankfort
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 74°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 72°
Warm Start, but Cooler Finish with Scattered Showers.
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