May 4, 9 PM Weather Forecast Update

Areas of dense fog tonight...........more showers/storms & some severe risk ahead.

Posted: May 4, 2019 8:23 PM
Updated: May 4, 2019 8:47 PM

Areas of dense fog are likely late tonight as skies go completely clear & lows drop to 38-44 after highs of 57-65 today.

Tomorrow looks great with sun & 70-76, though some patchy high & mid clouds will increase in the p.m.  Lows Sunday night will drop into the 50s.

Developing storms with severe weather risk will be just northwest of us Monday afternoon.

These storms may gell into a line.

It appears they will weaken as they move southeastward into our area Monday evening-night, however.  We might be able to sneak in an isolated severe storm if the line holds together just a bit longer.  We will monitor.

Highs Monday of 76-82 are likely with clouds/sun & strong southwest winds & dew points rising to around 60.

After looking like front would be north of our area Tuesday, new data is pretty consistent in having front either south of our area or hung up in our southern counties.

So, rainfall coverage should still go from 60% Monday night-Tuesday morning to 30% Tuesday afternoon, but temperatures may vary greatly in the area from 63 in the far north to 80 far south & either 60s or 70s at Greater Lafayette (depending on exact position of front).

As front works back northward, rounds of widespread showers/storms are likely Tuesday night to Wednesday.

Wednesday's highs will vary from 63 north to 80 south & 60s or 70s in heart of the area.

Latest data suggests showers/storms early Thursday morning, then break with some sun & periods of storms midday to evening.

With a window for highs to reach potentially 79-84 (with dew points 66-70 as warm front shoots north of the viewing area) with strengthening winds through the troposphere as surface low deepens pretty quickly over Illinois, it all points to SLIGHT to ENHANCED RISK of severe for part of the area.

We shall see.  It will all tend to hinge on how widespread showers & storms get & how much sun & heating can truly occur.  If we are just completely loaded with rounds of widespread heavy rainfall & storms, then overall risk will be cut, despite other parameters in place.

We will monitor.

Friday looks mostly cloudy, windy & rather chilly with some spotty showers around & highs only at 57-64.

Period of some dry weather is still possible May 11-13 or 12-13 before some more rainfall returns off & on near May 14-17.


Check out the wall of surface high pressure that develops, which could bring us a week of pretty dry weather.

There will still be some rain in late May, but the durations of dry weather in-between will help tremendously for farmers.

There is still a tendency for hot, dry upper ridging in early June over the area to get the remainder of the crop in the ground.

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 74°
Kokomo
Broken Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 73°
Rensselaer
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 73°
Fowler
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 73°
Williamsport
Overcast
72° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 72°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
68° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 68°
Frankfort
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 74°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 72°
Warm Start, but Cooler Finish with Scattered Showers.
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