SLIGHT RISK of severe weather is up for our area this evening with ENHANCED RISK south of our area.
Parameters are such that a pocket of MODERATE may be drawn in the next SPC update from northern Arkansas to northwestern Tennessee & southern Kentucky. We will see.
Right now, showers have exited after around 0.10" to as much as 0.45".
Low clouds are currently widespread with temperatures 60-66 as of 11:30 a.m.
Clearing is expected with time this afternoon to evening with highs in the 70s to lower 80s with a south-southwest wind.
Round of storms should pass this evening 8 p.m.-12 a.m. Looks like a QLCS squall line with LEWPs, bows in the line & an embedded supercell possible.
Scattered severe gusts, isolated large hail & an isolated brief tornado are all possible given sheared environment with enough buoyancy (CAPE).
The severe weather risk overnight-Tuesday morning should stay south of our area.
However, showers will begin to move northward from the south.
Lows will drop into the 50s with a north wind.
Some showers are possible at times Tuesday with north-northwest wind & highs in the 60s with lows in the 40s to 50s.
Wednesday looks dry with sunshine & highs in the 60s with lows in the 40s.
Alberta Clipper system should pass Thursday with some scattered showers & storms.
Cold air aloft may result in a hailer or two.
Highs will run in the 60s to 70.