May 3, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Fog, some showers, dry time & then warm, muggy weather & rounds of rain & storms ahead.

Posted: May 3, 2019 9:15 PM
Updated: May 3, 2019 10:48 PM

Highs today ran 57-65 over the area with some breaks in the clouds.  The were coolest where lake breeze front set up today with the north to north-northeast wind.

As of 9:30 p.m., temperatures are running 47-59; coolest where lake breeze front has moved, which is as far south as Lafayette & Pine Village.  It then runs Delphi to about Rochester.  It is 47-51 in that lake breeze zone & quickly 55-59 outside of that lake breeze front.

Scattered showers are possible overnight, through Saturday morning to Saturday midday.

Around 0.10" of rainfall or less is expected.  Patchy fog & mist may occur prior to the showers & accompany them.

Lows tonight will run 44-53 from northwest to southeast over the area.

Some breaks in the clouds & even some partial clearing may occur Saturday, especially in the northwest part of the area.  This clearing will slowly work southeastward late day to evening.

With skies going clear tomorrow night with a calm wind, it will not only be chilly, but areas of dense fog are possible.

Lows of 38-45 are likely.

With warm front shooting northward Sunday, it should be mostly sunny with calm wind going to the southwest at 10-15 mph & high 70-76.

Some areas of high & mid clouds may increase some Sunday, riding up & over the area near the warm front.

You can see this in the IR satellite projection.

Note the complete clearing Saturday night, then the fog..................

.....................Then some patchy cloudiness increasing Sunday.

There will be some storms that fire along that warm front Sunday late evening-night just north of our area.  As the front will be very close to the Kankakee River, a couple cells may skim by the far north Sunday night-Monday morning.

Lows will run 53-60 area-wide.

Those storms will tend to exit & fade in the far north Monday morning.

Late afternoon-evening may feature some more widespread showers & storms generally north of Route 18.

With a mix of clouds & sun (more sun as you go southward in the area), highs will run 72-80 from north to south in the area.

Showers & storms are possible area-wide Monday night to Tuesday morning as disturbance rides the warm front.  Lows will run 54-63 north to south.

Warm front should then shoot back northward Tuesday afternoon & showers & storms should tend to shut off.  Thinking there may still be a few renegade storms around.

Parts of the area, mainly the central & south, will see their warmest, muggiest day of 2019 (so far) with highs 80-85.  However, areas north of U.S. 24 may stay in the 72-76 range.

Widespread showers & storms are likely Wednesday with highs 66-74 after morning lows 55-66.

A break should ensue for a while Wednesday night with fog & lows 52-58.

A round or two of widespread showers & storms is likely Thursday with highs 67-75.

Friday looks cooler with highs 60-66 after morning lows in the 50s.

Showers & isolated storms are likely Friday.

Now-May 11 rainfall looks to run 1.5-3" (next 7 days).

This pattern shows up well late next week with blocking, hot upper ridge east, cold Plains & Rockies & hot Northwest & central West Coast.

Note how it is just the same pattern with the high height anomalies indicating widespread blocking ridging from northeastern Canada & the Greenland Arctic to the eastern & southeastern U.S.

May 11-12 look dry & pleasant with highs 67-75 & lows 40s.

Then the same regime returns...............

Rounds of showers & storms are possible May 13-17 (with temperatures near to below normal) before we then tend to dry out.

Total rainfall now to May 17 looks to run 2.5-5.5".  A few isolated +5.5" amounts are possible.

Warmth & dryness look to build after this wet spell.

Ridging will eventually bring 70s & 80s from central Canada & southeastward into our area over a massive area.

Projected noon-time temperatures are below for Sunday May 19 (67 Greater Lafayette noon, reaching 76 for a high).

Article Comments

West Lafayette
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 74°
Kokomo
Broken Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 73°
Rensselaer
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 54°
Feels Like: 73°
Fowler
Clear
73° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 73°
Williamsport
Overcast
72° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 72°
Crawfordsville
Overcast
68° wxIcon
Hi: 80° Lo: 58°
Feels Like: 68°
Frankfort
Overcast
74° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 74°
Delphi
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Monticello
Scattered Clouds
73° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 56°
Feels Like: 73°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
72° wxIcon
Hi: 79° Lo: 55°
Feels Like: 72°
Warm Start, but Cooler Finish with Scattered Showers.
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