May 29, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Nice, comfortable weekend, then hot/humid with risk of severe storms with potential of early-season all-out heat wave.

Posted: May 29, 2020 9:22 PM
Updated: May 29, 2020 10:59 PM

Highs today reached 75-81, exceeding initial expectations a bit of a 73-79 day.  The humidity dropped nicely on brisk west-northwest to northwest winds at 15-28 mph.

Partly cloudy skies Saturday will give way to mostly sunny skies Sunday.

I went for lows of 44-50 Saturday night & 45-50 (coolest north & northeast) Sunday night with daily highs 69-76.

Warm front will surge northeastward & bring increasing clouds & highs 76-83 with a turn of the wind to the south.

It will begin to turn more humid.

A couple/few isolated storms are possible late Monday night-Tuesday morning.  The bulk of the showers & storms will tend to occur northeast of the area, however.

It will turn muggy Tuesday night & Wednesday looks hot & muggy with highs 90-94 with strong south-southwest winds to 33 mph.

Heat indices of 96-103 are likely.

A complex of storms (MCS) with a bowing squall line will likely originate as shortwave rides the upper ridge. 

Conditions are favorable for a long-lived, widespread damaging wind event to evolve (especially given the potent elevated mixed layer or EML that will help MCS bow/line amalgamation with favorable shear, deep instability for longevity).

Storms should initiate in North & South Dakota Tuesday night & ride through Minnesota, Wisconsin, northeastern Iowa to Illinois & far southwest Michigan to our area by evening (7-10 p.m.)

Complex should reach Tennessee & western Kentucky to southeast Missouri by morning & weaken.

We will see if it does reach progressive derecho (type of derecho that occurs on periphery of hot upper ridge) status.  It could.

Parameters suggest higher-end ENHANCED RISK for our area right now.  We will monitor future data as some parameters may even conclude MODERATE RISK parameters setting up.

On the tail-end of that MCS, some storms may form with a north- to south-orientation from western Tennessee to central Illinois & then move back northeastward in strong low-level flow from the southwest.

This will occur as ridge expands greatly & pushes the MCS/derecho corridor way northward to the Dakotas to Ontario for Thursday night-Friday through Sunday.

An early-season heat wave will engulf the area with temperatures in the 90s for many days.

Given the strong southwest winds, night-time lows will be unusually warm in the 74-80 range.  Highs may peak at 93-98 with heat indices to 99-108.

Meanwhile, the West will be unusually cold & wet, while multiple severe weather outbreaks will occur from Wyoming & Montana to Ontario.

Severe weather is possible over the region June 13-14 time frame with potential SLIGHT to ENHANCED RISK as strong cold front passes.

A period of much more comfortable weather is possible (highs 70s to lower 80s with lows 50s to 60).

However, hot upper ridge should re-build into the Plains & Midwest by around June 19 with severe weather risk Montana to Minnesota to Ontario. 

We may see another "Ridge Rider" with severe weather risk.

Temperatures will heat up with highs of 94-98 potentially with heat indices of 100-110.

Overnight lows of 75-80 are possible.

A FORECAST WILDCARD is the Gulf, Caribbean & Atlantic, where early tropical development will continue.  MJO is in a very favorable phase for active tropics, along with unusually warm sea surfaces (& with us beginnings of a La Nina underway, which favors more tropical development). 

We will likely make it to the "C" category for names before June 5, which would break the record (set in 1966 [June 5]) for earliest reach to the letter "C" in tropical storms & hurricanes back to 1851.

We may very well see a couple of tropical storms &/or hurricanes make landfall along the Gulf Coast over the next 1-2.5 weeks.

We will wait & see what or if there are substantial impacts from these systems.

West Lafayette
Clear
89° wxIcon
Hi: 93° Lo: 72°
Feels Like: 94°
Kokomo
Clear
85° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 70°
Feels Like: 89°
Rensselaer
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 88°
Fowler
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 88°
Williamsport
Clear
87° wxIcon
Hi: 92° Lo: 70°
Feels Like: 92°
Crawfordsville
Clear
85° wxIcon
Hi: 92° Lo: 71°
Feels Like: 88°
Frankfort
Overcast
87° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 71°
Feels Like: 93°
Delphi
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 70°
Feels Like: 87°
Monticello
Clear
86° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 87°
Logansport
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 90° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 89°
WLFI Radar
WLFI Temps
WLFI Planner

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 47432

Reported Deaths: 2687
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion11546683
Lake5104242
Elkhart321144
Allen2737129
St. Joseph190866
Cass16389
Hamilton1538100
Hendricks1390100
Johnson1256118
Porter72037
Tippecanoe6948
Madison65564
Clark64044
Bartholomew58244
Howard56557
LaPorte56326
Kosciusko5354
Vanderburgh5026
Marshall4823
Jackson4693
Noble46928
LaGrange4677
Hancock44035
Boone43743
Delaware43150
Shelby42325
Floyd37144
Morgan32731
Montgomery29320
Grant29126
Clinton2882
Monroe27628
Dubois2666
White26010
Henry25815
Decatur24932
Lawrence24225
Vigo2318
Dearborn22823
Harrison21222
Warrick21229
Greene18532
Miami1822
Jennings17411
Putnam1688
DeKalb1604
Scott1607
Daviess14216
Orange13623
Wayne1366
Steuben1282
Perry1279
Franklin1248
Ripley1157
Jasper1142
Wabash1122
Carroll1102
Fayette987
Newton9810
Starke923
Whitley905
Randolph784
Huntington742
Jefferson722
Wells711
Fulton691
Jay680
Washington681
Gibson672
Knox640
Pulaski641
Clay604
Rush563
Adams501
Benton480
Owen471
Sullivan441
Brown381
Posey380
Blackford372
Spencer371
Crawford300
Fountain302
Tipton301
Switzerland260
Martin220
Parke220
Ohio140
Vermillion140
Warren141
Union130
Pike100
Unassigned0193

COVID-19 Important links and resources

As the spread of COVID-19, or as it's more commonly known as the coronavirus continues, this page will serve as your one-stop for the resources you need to stay informed and to keep you and your family safe. CLICK HERE

Closings related to the prevention of the COVID-19 can be found on our Closings page.

Community Events