May 23, 11 PM Weather Forecast Update

Warm, Humid with Some Storms at Times.

Posted: May 23, 2019 9:42 PM
Updated: May 23, 2019 11:00 PM

Highs today ran 77-83 over the viewing area.  We will drop to 53-62 tonight from northeast to southwest.

A few storms will pass 8 a.m. to 12 p.m. Friday, followed by dry weather with sunshine & highs 78-88 northeast to southwest.

Isolated severe weather is possible.  Main threat is large hail.

A few isolated storms are possible 5-10 p.m., mainly in the north. 

Isolated severe weather is possible with equal threat for large hail, isolated tornado & wind.

Lots of storms with severe weather & flooding risk will line up northwest & north of our area Friday night to Saturday morning.

We will be dry, warm & muggy with lows only 67-72 & a warm south to south-southwest wind.

Early Saturday morning a storm or two may sneak into our far northwestern areas.

All of those storms will try to sag southward Saturday morning & may last long enough to get a couple storms into Newton & Jasper counties before it collapses.

However, its outflow boundary will lay up over the heart of the area by midday.

That outflow boundary will likely fire new storms Saturday afternoon-evening generally along & near Route 18 in the heart of the area from near Fowler to Brookston Delphi eastward.

Isolated severe weather is possible here from any storms with main threat wind, then large hail, then isolated brief tornado.

Better shear & an old MCV from the storms overnight northwest of the area may form a complex of severe storms from northeastern Indiana to Ohio.

The storms may elongate & sit over east-central Indiana, west-central & central Ohio into Saturday night, resulting in a corridor of substantial flash flooding east of our area.  The potential is there for a band of 3-7" of rainfall is set up from Wells & Grant counties eastward into Ohio...................east of our area.

Here a few isolated to spotty storms may continue into Saturday late evening (generally near/in that Route 18 zone) & may increase some Saturday night as low-level jet strengthens & noses into area (with continued isolated severe risk).

Highs Saturday will run 81 north to 89 south with dew points 65-72.  Heat indices may reach 94 in our southern areas.

It could be a situation where it is dry all of Saturday at Lafayette & Pine Village & Frankfort & point southward with just a viewing of the towering cumulus & cumulonimbus & dark skies in the north in the afternoon-evening & it may stay dry into Saturday with lightning in the northern sky.

Eventually, the band of scattered storms moves southward Saturday night, then line of storms in Illinois progress southeastward early Sunday morning.

Flooding storms will diminish in far eastern Indiana & Ohio.

Our most widespread rainfall Sunday is trending toward the morning to midday as the line & all of the stratified rainfall behind it move southeastward.

So, we go from early morning storms in the south to just rain right into midday, then just a few showers in the p.m. with mostly cloudy skies & highs in the 70s.

At this point, there is high potential of a long rain delay Sunday or a postponement of the Indy 500 until Monday.

A corridor of severe weather risk will likely exist well south & southeast of our area on Sunday as the morning Illinois line of storms intensifies (& new storms firing ahead of it congeal with it) with heating ahead of it.

Total rainfall now to Sunday................

Fulton, Cass & Miami counties may see 1.50-3" of rainfall.  Rest of the viewing area is looking at 0.50-1.50".

Right now, Memorial Day looks dry with 80s & lows near 60 in the morning.

Tuesday looks partly cloudy, windy, warm & humid with highs 85-90.  Lows will run in the 60s to 70.

Line of storms with severe weather risk is still possible Wednesday, followed by some cooler & less humid weather briefly Thursday.

80s to 90 will come back in next weekend to June 2.

Storms are possible June 2.


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