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May 22, 12:30 PM Weather Forecast Update

Here is the latest on the Memorial Day weekend forecast & beyond.

Posted: May 22, 2020 11:59 AM
Updated: May 22, 2020 5:34 PM

Patchy fog (visibility to 0.15 mile at some airport sites) occurred with lows 50-60 this morning.  Much of the area was 55-58. 

Coolest observations site was the Crawfordsville Municipal Airport at 50.  This is normally a cooler spot due to site where sensor & airport is located in a pocket of a low, flat valley of several creeks sloping toward Sugar Creek, Shades State Park, Pine Hills to Cold Spring Camp.

With cumulus/stratocumulus clouds mixed with sun today, highs of 71-79 are likely.  As of 1 p.m., temperatures are 65-74 over the area.  They are warmest where more consistent sun is occurring.

An isolated shower or two may bubble up with these cumulus clouds today.  Lingering vorticity from nearby upper low may result in an isolated cold air funnel.

My high here at the WLFI ob site has been 72.  It is 71 right now. 

MCV pivoting through Missouri to northern Illinois will bring some storms Saturday (AM 35%.....Evening 65%).

A few showers & storms are possible briefly Saturday morning.  An isolated sub-severe hailer is possible.

A break will follow & it will get very warm to hot & humid with sunshine.

SLIGHT RISK for severe storms scenario is shaping for evening in the 6 p.m. to 12 a.m. time frame.

A broken line or two of storms is likely with main risk being wind. 

In central to east-central Illinois there is actually a period of pretty high tornado risk in the afternoon with the MCV.  We will continue to monitor that & make sure that does not make movement eastward into our area.

Highs of 84-88 (heat indices 88-95) are likely after 60s tonight & mid 60s to 70 tomorrow night.

Winds will run south-southeast to south at 10-25 mph.

Most of Sunday looks dry, very warm to hot & humid whilte line of storms with severe weather threat will be moving through Iowa & Missouri Sunday evening.  I kept 25% POPs for Sunday to account for a random shower/storm in the heat & humidity with diffuse outflow boundary on tail end of MCVs storms from Saturday moving northward over the area.

Looks partly cloudy here with 85-90 & heat indices 90-96.

Winds will run south-southwest at 10-25 mph.

Temperatures at 1 p.m. (already 84-87):

Heat indices are projected at 89-93 at 1 p.m. Sunday over the viewing area:

Projected radar Sunday noon to 7 p.m.:

A weakening MCV will pivot through Monday afternoon-evening with potential of storms.

If enhanced shear & lift can be realized with this MCV then a couple/few severe storms with MARGINAL to SLIGHT RISK issued for the area may occur.

It will be a very warm to hot & humid day with highs 85-90 & heat indices 90-96.

Winds should run south-southwest at 10-20 mph.

It should stay very warm to hot & muggy Tuesday to Friday of next week.  It will be a typical summer pattern with southerly winds & a few storms daily here & there.  Any severe risk currently looks low given the fact that the better wind fields & dynamics will be well northwest of our area.

Highs of 85-90 are likely daily with lows 67-72.  Daily heat indices should run 91-96.

Cold front should pass through a week from this Saturday bringing a cooler, less humid air in later next weekend.  Highs a week from this Sunday may cool to the 70s with lows in the 50-55 range.

However, the heat & humidity will return quickly after that with 87-91 for highs & heat indices 92-97.

Indiana Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 30901

Reported Deaths: 1964
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Marion9040531
Lake3191167
Cass15796
Allen121365
St. Joseph113234
Hendricks110365
Hamilton109291
Johnson1065102
Elkhart93827
Madison57658
Bartholomew46733
Porter46521
Clark45038
LaPorte38721
Tippecanoe3563
Jackson3531
Howard34417
Delaware34027
Hancock31527
Shelby31121
Floyd31138
Boone27935
Morgan25724
Vanderburgh2402
Decatur22131
White2128
Montgomery21114
Clinton2041
Harrison18321
Grant17820
Noble17420
Dubois1712
Greene16723
Warrick16326
Dearborn16221
Monroe15810
Henry1556
Lawrence14222
Miami1351
Vigo1357
Putnam1297
Jennings1264
Orange12222
Scott1153
Ripley1126
Franklin1068
Carroll882
Daviess8116
Steuben762
Newton7210
Wabash722
Kosciusko711
Wayne665
Marshall611
LaGrange592
Washington521
Jasper521
Fayette504
Fulton461
Rush452
Jefferson411
Jay410
Clay381
Pulaski380
Randolph373
Whitley342
Brown331
Sullivan311
Starke303
Owen301
DeKalb281
Knox240
Benton240
Crawford230
Perry230
Huntington222
Tipton221
Wells220
Switzerland190
Blackford191
Fountain172
Parke170
Posey170
Spencer141
Gibson132
Ohio130
Adams121
Warren121
Martin100
Union80
Vermillion80
Pike50
Unassigned0152
West Lafayette
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 88° Lo: 69°
Feels Like: 91°
Kokomo
Clear
85° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 87°
Rensselaer
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 66°
Feels Like: 88°
Fowler
Clear
88° wxIcon
Hi: 87° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 88°
Williamsport
Scattered Clouds
85° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 88°
Crawfordsville
Scattered Clouds
83° wxIcon
Hi: 84° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 85°
Frankfort
Scattered Clouds
86° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 89°
Delphi
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 89° Lo: 68°
Feels Like: 85°
Monticello
Clear
84° wxIcon
Hi: 91° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 85°
Logansport
Scattered Clouds
88° wxIcon
Hi: 86° Lo: 67°
Feels Like: 89°
Warm Temperatures For Memorial Day
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